Very Good Pink Sheet Forward View - Polynomial Regression

VGFCQ Stock   0.01  0.00  0.00%   
Very Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Very Good's share price is below 20 . This entails that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Very Good's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with The Very Good, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Very Good hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The Very Good from the perspective of Very Good response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of The Very Good on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0009 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.05.

Very Good after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.005  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Very Good to cross-verify your projections.

Very Good Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Very price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Very using various technical indicators. When you analyze Very charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Very Good polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for The Very Good as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Very Good Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of The Very Good on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0009, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000182, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.05.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Very Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Very Good's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Very Good Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Very Good  Very Good Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Very Good Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Very Good's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Very Good's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00005 and 220.25, respectively. We have considered Very Good's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.01
0.00005
Downside
0
Expected Value
220.25
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Very Good pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Very Good pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria104.8916
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation9.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0536
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Very Good historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Very Good

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Very Good. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Very Good's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0150.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.00050.25
Details

Very Good After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Very Good at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Very Good or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Very Good, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Very Good Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Very Good's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Very Good's historical news coverage. Very Good's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 50.26, respectively. We have considered Very Good's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.01
0.01
After-hype Price
50.26
Upside
Very Good is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Very Good is based on 3 months time horizon.

Very Good Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Very Good is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Very Good backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Very Good, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  44.26 
220.25
 0.00  
  5.88 
0 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Any time
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.01
0.01
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Very Good Hype Timeline

Very Good is at this time traded for 0.01. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 5.88. Very is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 44.26%. %. The volatility of related hype on Very Good is about 165779.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.89. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be any time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Very Good to cross-verify your projections.

Very Good Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Very Good's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Very Good's future price movements. Getting to know how Very Good's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Very Good may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Very Good

For every potential investor in Very, whether a beginner or expert, Very Good's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Very Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Very. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Very Good's price trends.

Very Good Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Very Good pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Very Good could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Very Good by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Very Good Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Very Good pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Very Good shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Very Good pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify The Very Good entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Very Good

The number of cover stories for Very Good depends on current market conditions and Very Good's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Very Good is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Very Good's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Additional Tools for Very Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Very Good's price analysis, check to measure Very Good's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Very Good is operating at the current time. Most of Very Good's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Very Good's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Very Good's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Very Good to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.