Via Transportation Stock Forward View
| VIA Stock | USD 20.66 0.85 3.95% |
Via Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Via Transportation stock prices and determine the direction of Via Transportation's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Via Transportation's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of relative strength index of Via Transportation's share price is below 30 at this time. This entails that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Via Transportation, making its price go up or down. Momentum 27
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (1.42) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.0586 | Wall Street Target Price 56.4 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.316 |
Using Via Transportation hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Via Transportation from the perspective of Via Transportation response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Via Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Via Transportation on the next trading day is expected to be 21.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 77.78.Via Transportation Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Via Transportation's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Via. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Via can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Via Transportation. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Via Transportation's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Via Transportation.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Via Transportation on the next trading day is expected to be 21.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 77.78. Via Transportation after-hype prediction price | USD 20.45 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Via Transportation to cross-verify your projections. Via Transportation Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Via price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Via using various technical indicators. When you analyze Via charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Via Transportation Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Via Transportation's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2007-03-31 | Previous Quarter 78.2 M | Current Value 378.2 M | Quarterly Volatility 446.4 M |
Via Transportation Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Via Transportation on the next trading day is expected to be 21.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.28, mean absolute percentage error of 2.51, and the sum of the absolute errors of 77.78.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Via Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Via Transportation's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Via Transportation Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Via Transportation | Via Transportation Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Via Transportation Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Via Transportation's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Via Transportation's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.67 and 25.35, respectively. We have considered Via Transportation's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Via Transportation stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Via Transportation stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.0314 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2751 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0409 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 77.7832 |
Predictive Modules for Via Transportation
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Via Transportation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Via Transportation After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Via Transportation at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Via Transportation or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Via Transportation, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Via Transportation Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Via Transportation's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Via Transportation's historical news coverage. Via Transportation's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.11 and 24.79, respectively. We have considered Via Transportation's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Via Transportation is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Via Transportation is based on 3 months time horizon.
Via Transportation Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Via Transportation is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Via Transportation backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Via Transportation, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.37 | 4.34 | 0.21 | 0.18 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.66 | 20.45 | 1.02 |
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Via Transportation Hype Timeline
On the 4th of February Via Transportation is traded for 20.66. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.18. Via is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 20.45. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -1.02%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -1.37%. The volatility of related hype on Via Transportation is about 3338.46%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.48. About 36.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The book value of Via Transportation was at this time reported as 7.22. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.48. Via Transportation recorded a loss per share of 1.17. The entity last dividend was issued on the 28th of February 2023. The firm had 1:5 split on the 22nd of March 2023. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Via Transportation to cross-verify your projections.Via Transportation Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Via Transportation's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Via Transportation's future price movements. Getting to know how Via Transportation's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Via Transportation may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| COMP | Compass | 0.11 | 9 per month | 1.45 | 0.24 | 7.28 | (3.31) | 14.23 | |
| NAVN | Navan Class A | (0.07) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 6.74 | (9.32) | 21.66 | |
| ZETA | Zeta Global Holdings | 0.41 | 11 per month | 3.88 | 0.01 | 8.32 | (5.77) | 28.98 | |
| GBTG | Global Business Travel | (0.04) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.82 | (6.13) | 13.45 | |
| OS | OneStream Class A | 0.01 | 8 per month | 2.30 | 0.09 | 5.27 | (4.43) | 29.57 | |
| VRNS | Varonis Systems | (1.63) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.40 | (3.51) | 16.73 | |
| WK | Workiva | 0.15 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.07 | (3.80) | 12.02 | |
| DGNX | Diginex Limited Ordinary | (0.51) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 17.74 | (21.43) | 58.12 | |
| CLBT | Cellebrite DI | 0.36 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.03 | (4.33) | 25.88 | |
| FRSH | Freshworks | (0.09) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.12 | (5.17) | 12.60 |
Other Forecasting Options for Via Transportation
For every potential investor in Via, whether a beginner or expert, Via Transportation's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Via Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Via. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Via Transportation's price trends.Via Transportation Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Via Transportation stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Via Transportation could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Via Transportation by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Via Transportation Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Via Transportation stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Via Transportation shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Via Transportation stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Via Transportation entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 20.66 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 20.66 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.43) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.85) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 27.78 |
Via Transportation Risk Indicators
The analysis of Via Transportation's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Via Transportation's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting via stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.23 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.29 | |||
| Variance | 18.42 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Via Transportation
The number of cover stories for Via Transportation depends on current market conditions and Via Transportation's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Via Transportation is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Via Transportation's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Via Transportation Short Properties
Via Transportation's future price predictability will typically decrease when Via Transportation's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Via Transportation often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Via Transportation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Via Transportation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 71.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 77.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Via Transportation to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Via Stock refer to our How to Trade Via Stock guide.You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Is Ground Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Via Transportation. If investors know Via will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Via Transportation assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Via Transportation's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Via's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Via Transportation's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Via Transportation's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Via Transportation's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Via Transportation is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Via Transportation's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.