Vien Dong Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| VID Stock | 5,120 20.00 0.39% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Vien Dong Investment on the next trading day is expected to be 5,085 with a mean absolute deviation of 53.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3,249. Vien Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Vien |
Vien Dong Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Vien Dong Investment on the next trading day is expected to be 5,085 with a mean absolute deviation of 53.26, mean absolute percentage error of 4,640, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3,249.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vien Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vien Dong's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Vien Dong Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Vien Dong | Vien Dong Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Vien Dong Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Vien Dong's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vien Dong's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5,084 and 5,087, respectively. We have considered Vien Dong's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vien Dong stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vien Dong stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 126.5529 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 53.2594 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.01 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3248.8233 |
Predictive Modules for Vien Dong
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vien Dong Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Vien Dong
For every potential investor in Vien, whether a beginner or expert, Vien Dong's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vien Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vien. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vien Dong's price trends.Vien Dong Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vien Dong stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vien Dong could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vien Dong by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Vien Dong Investment Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Vien Dong's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Vien Dong's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Vien Dong Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vien Dong stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vien Dong shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vien Dong stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Vien Dong Investment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Vien Dong Risk Indicators
The analysis of Vien Dong's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vien Dong's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vien stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.06 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.5 | |||
| Variance | 2.26 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Vien Dong
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Vien Dong position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vien Dong will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Vien Stock
Moving against Vien Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Vien Dong could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Vien Dong when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Vien Dong - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Vien Dong Investment to buy it.
The correlation of Vien Dong is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Vien Dong moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Vien Dong Investment moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Vien Dong can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Other Information on Investing in Vien Stock
Vien Dong financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vien Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vien with respect to the benefits of owning Vien Dong security.