VIEMED HLTHCARE Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

VIJ Stock  EUR 7.65  0.10  1.32%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of VIEMED HLTHCARE INC on the next trading day is expected to be 7.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.45. VIEMED Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of VIEMED HLTHCARE's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for VIEMED HLTHCARE INC is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

VIEMED HLTHCARE 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of VIEMED HLTHCARE INC on the next trading day is expected to be 7.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.45.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VIEMED Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VIEMED HLTHCARE's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

VIEMED HLTHCARE Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest VIEMED HLTHCAREVIEMED HLTHCARE Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

VIEMED HLTHCARE Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting VIEMED HLTHCARE's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. VIEMED HLTHCARE's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.20 and 10.85, respectively. We have considered VIEMED HLTHCARE's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.65
7.53
Expected Value
10.85
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VIEMED HLTHCARE stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VIEMED HLTHCARE stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.3425
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0215
MADMean absolute deviation0.236
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0295
SAESum of the absolute errors13.45
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of VIEMED HLTHCARE. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for VIEMED HLTHCARE INC and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for VIEMED HLTHCARE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VIEMED HLTHCARE INC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.327.6510.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.327.6510.98
Details

Other Forecasting Options for VIEMED HLTHCARE

For every potential investor in VIEMED, whether a beginner or expert, VIEMED HLTHCARE's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. VIEMED Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in VIEMED. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying VIEMED HLTHCARE's price trends.

VIEMED HLTHCARE Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with VIEMED HLTHCARE stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of VIEMED HLTHCARE could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing VIEMED HLTHCARE by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

VIEMED HLTHCARE INC Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of VIEMED HLTHCARE's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of VIEMED HLTHCARE's current price.

VIEMED HLTHCARE Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how VIEMED HLTHCARE stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading VIEMED HLTHCARE shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying VIEMED HLTHCARE stock market strength indicators, traders can identify VIEMED HLTHCARE INC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

VIEMED HLTHCARE Risk Indicators

The analysis of VIEMED HLTHCARE's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VIEMED HLTHCARE's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting viemed stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in VIEMED Stock

VIEMED HLTHCARE financial ratios help investors to determine whether VIEMED Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in VIEMED with respect to the benefits of owning VIEMED HLTHCARE security.