Valuence Merger Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| VMCA Stock | USD 11.51 0.01 0.09% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Valuence Merger Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 11.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.77. Valuence Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Valuence Merger stock prices and determine the direction of Valuence Merger Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Valuence Merger's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Valuence |
Valuence Merger Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Valuence Merger Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 11.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.77.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Valuence Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Valuence Merger's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Valuence Merger Stock Forecast Pattern
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Valuence Merger Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Valuence Merger's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Valuence Merger's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.34 and 11.68, respectively. We have considered Valuence Merger's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Valuence Merger stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Valuence Merger stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.1914 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0128 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0011 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.7682 |
Predictive Modules for Valuence Merger
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Valuence Merger Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Valuence Merger's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Valuence Merger
For every potential investor in Valuence, whether a beginner or expert, Valuence Merger's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Valuence Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Valuence. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Valuence Merger's price trends.Valuence Merger Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Valuence Merger stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Valuence Merger could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Valuence Merger by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Valuence Merger Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Valuence Merger's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Valuence Merger's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Valuence Merger Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Valuence Merger stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Valuence Merger shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Valuence Merger stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Valuence Merger Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 11.51 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 11.51 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.005 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.01 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 28.82 |
Valuence Merger Risk Indicators
The analysis of Valuence Merger's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Valuence Merger's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting valuence stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.0948 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.1278 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.1676 | |||
| Variance | 0.0281 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0612 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0163 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.24) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Valuence Merger Corp is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Valuence Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Valuence Merger Corp Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Valuence Merger Corp Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Valuence Merger to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Valuence Merger. If investors know Valuence will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Valuence Merger listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.77) | Earnings Share 0.15 | Return On Assets (0.02) |
The market value of Valuence Merger Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Valuence that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Valuence Merger's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Valuence Merger's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Valuence Merger's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Valuence Merger's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Valuence Merger's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Valuence Merger is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Valuence Merger's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.