Valmont Industries Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| VMI Stock | USD 446.76 1.14 0.26% |
Valmont Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Valmont Industries' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 28th of January 2026, The relative strength momentum indicator of Valmont Industries' share price is at 59. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Valmont Industries, making its price go up or down. Momentum 59
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.212 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 4.8809 | EPS Estimate Current Year 19.1467 | EPS Estimate Next Year 21.3283 | Wall Street Target Price 459.25 |
Using Valmont Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Valmont Industries from the perspective of Valmont Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Valmont Industries using Valmont Industries' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Valmont using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Valmont Industries' stock price.
Valmont Industries Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Valmont Industries' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Valmont. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Valmont Industries stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 367.9482 | Short Percent 0.0146 | Short Ratio 2.08 | Shares Short Prior Month 281.9 K | 50 Day MA 415.2754 |
Valmont Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Valmont Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 435.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 532.03.Valmont Industries Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Valmont Industries' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Valmont. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Valmont can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Valmont Industries. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Valmont Industries' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Valmont Industries.
Valmont Industries Implied Volatility | 0.41 |
Valmont Industries' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Valmont Industries stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Valmont Industries' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Valmont Industries stock will not fluctuate a lot when Valmont Industries' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Valmont Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 435.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 532.03. Valmont Industries after-hype prediction price | USD 447.19 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Valmont Industries to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Valmont contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Valmont Industries will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0256% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Valmont Industries trading at USD 446.76, that is roughly USD 0.11 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Valmont Industries' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Valmont Industries options at the current volatility level of 0.41%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Valmont Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Valmont Industries' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Valmont Industries' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Valmont Industries stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Valmont Industries' open interest, investors have to compare it to Valmont Industries' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Valmont Industries is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Valmont. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Valmont Industries Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Valmont price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Valmont using various technical indicators. When you analyze Valmont charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Valmont Industries Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Valmont Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 435.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.58, mean absolute percentage error of 106.61, and the sum of the absolute errors of 532.03.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Valmont Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Valmont Industries' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Valmont Industries Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Valmont Industries | Valmont Industries Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Valmont Industries Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Valmont Industries' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Valmont Industries' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 433.66 and 436.46, respectively. We have considered Valmont Industries' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Valmont Industries stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Valmont Industries stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 124.6176 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 8.5812 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0208 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 532.0319 |
Predictive Modules for Valmont Industries
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Valmont Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Valmont Industries After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Valmont Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Valmont Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Valmont Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Valmont Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Valmont Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Valmont Industries' historical news coverage. Valmont Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 445.79 and 448.59, respectively. We have considered Valmont Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Valmont Industries is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Valmont Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.
Valmont Industries Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Valmont Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Valmont Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Valmont Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 1.40 | 0.50 | 0.18 | 11 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
446.76 | 447.19 | 0.10 |
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Valmont Industries Hype Timeline
On the 28th of January Valmont Industries is traded for 446.76. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.5, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.18. Valmont is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 447.19 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 39.0%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Valmont Industries is about 106.46%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 446.58. The company reported the last year's revenue of 4.08 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 350.62 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.24 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Valmont Industries to cross-verify your projections.Valmont Industries Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Valmont Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Valmont Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how Valmont Industries' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Valmont Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DY | Dycom Industries | 9.08 | 10 per month | 1.81 | 0.17 | 3.06 | (3.17) | 14.96 | |
| IESC | IES Holdings | (6.25) | 10 per month | 3.54 | 0.11 | 6.33 | (5.56) | 25.84 | |
| PRIM | Primoris Services | 0.01 | 9 per month | 3.09 | 0.06 | 5.21 | (4.72) | 15.24 | |
| PSN | Parsons Corp | (0.21) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.68 | (3.89) | 25.78 | |
| ZWS | Zurn Elkay Water | (0.24) | 10 per month | 1.16 | (0.04) | 2.02 | (2.16) | 6.90 | |
| AWI | Armstrong World Industries | (17.53) | 28 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.43 | (2.80) | 7.39 | |
| TTEK | Tetra Tech | 1.67 | 10 per month | 1.63 | 0.05 | 3.80 | (3.21) | 21.35 | |
| AGCO | AGCO Corporation | 0.84 | 10 per month | 1.38 | 0.02 | 3.52 | (2.20) | 10.84 | |
| OSK | Oshkosh | (0.15) | 7 per month | 2.01 | 0.06 | 4.70 | (2.50) | 13.95 | |
| AAON | AAON Inc | (0.37) | 30 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.42 | (5.87) | 14.22 |
Other Forecasting Options for Valmont Industries
For every potential investor in Valmont, whether a beginner or expert, Valmont Industries' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Valmont Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Valmont. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Valmont Industries' price trends.Valmont Industries Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Valmont Industries stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Valmont Industries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Valmont Industries by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Valmont Industries Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Valmont Industries stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Valmont Industries shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Valmont Industries stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Valmont Industries entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Valmont Industries Risk Indicators
The analysis of Valmont Industries' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Valmont Industries' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting valmont stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.08 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Variance | 1.96 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.99 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.55 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.13) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Valmont Industries
The number of cover stories for Valmont Industries depends on current market conditions and Valmont Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Valmont Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Valmont Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Valmont Industries Short Properties
Valmont Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when Valmont Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Valmont Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Valmont Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Valmont Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 164.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Valmont Industries to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Valmont Stock please use our How to Invest in Valmont Industries guide.You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Is Construction & Engineering space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Valmont Industries. If investors know Valmont will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Valmont Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.212 | Dividend Share 2.64 | Earnings Share 11.63 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.025 |
The market value of Valmont Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Valmont that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Valmont Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Valmont Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Valmont Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Valmont Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Valmont Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Valmont Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Valmont Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.