Vodafone Group Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Regression

VODPF Stock  USD 1.44  0.04  2.86%   
Vodafone Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Vodafone Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of February 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Vodafone Group's share price is at 57. This entails that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Vodafone Group, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 57

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Vodafone Group's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Vodafone Group and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Vodafone Group's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Vodafone Group PLC, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Vodafone Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vodafone Group PLC from the perspective of Vodafone Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Vodafone Group PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 1.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.25.

Vodafone Group after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.44  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vodafone Group to cross-verify your projections.

Vodafone Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Vodafone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vodafone using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vodafone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Vodafone Group price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Vodafone Group Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Vodafone Group PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 1.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.25.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vodafone Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vodafone Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Vodafone Group Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Vodafone Group  Vodafone Group Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Vodafone Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Vodafone Group's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vodafone Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 7.31, respectively. We have considered Vodafone Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.44
1.40
Expected Value
7.31
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vodafone Group pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vodafone Group pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.7194
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0532
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.042
SAESum of the absolute errors3.2456
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Vodafone Group PLC historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Vodafone Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vodafone Group PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.447.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.367.27
Details

Vodafone Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Vodafone Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vodafone Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Vodafone Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Vodafone Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Vodafone Group's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vodafone Group's historical news coverage. Vodafone Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 7.35, respectively. We have considered Vodafone Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.44
1.44
After-hype Price
7.35
Upside
Vodafone Group is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vodafone Group PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.

Vodafone Group Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vodafone Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vodafone Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vodafone Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.59 
5.91
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Any time
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.44
1.44
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Vodafone Group Hype Timeline

Vodafone Group PLC is at this time traded for 1.44. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Vodafone is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.59%. %. The volatility of related hype on Vodafone Group is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.44. About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.5. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Vodafone Group PLC has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.58. The entity last dividend was issued on the 23rd of November 2022. The firm had 9740:10000 split on the 24th of February 2014. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be any time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vodafone Group to cross-verify your projections.

Vodafone Group Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Vodafone Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vodafone Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Vodafone Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vodafone Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Vodafone Group

For every potential investor in Vodafone, whether a beginner or expert, Vodafone Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vodafone Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vodafone. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vodafone Group's price trends.

Vodafone Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vodafone Group pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vodafone Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vodafone Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Vodafone Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vodafone Group pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vodafone Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vodafone Group pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Vodafone Group PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Vodafone Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of Vodafone Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vodafone Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vodafone pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Vodafone Group

The number of cover stories for Vodafone Group depends on current market conditions and Vodafone Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vodafone Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vodafone Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Vodafone Pink Sheet

When determining whether Vodafone Group PLC is a strong investment it is important to analyze Vodafone Group's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Vodafone Group's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Vodafone Pink Sheet, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vodafone Group to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vodafone Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vodafone Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Vodafone Group's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.