Voya Financial Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

VOYA Stock  USD 77.34  0.55  0.71%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Voya Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 76.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.42. Voya Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Voya Financial stock prices and determine the direction of Voya Financial's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Voya Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Voya Financial's stock price is about 64. This entails that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Voya, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 64

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Voya Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Voya Financial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Voya Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.837
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.2797
EPS Estimate Current Year
9.0216
EPS Estimate Next Year
10.1951
Wall Street Target Price
85.2
Using Voya Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Voya Financial from the perspective of Voya Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Voya Financial using Voya Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Voya using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Voya Financial's stock price.

Voya Financial Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Voya Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Voya. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Voya Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
70.3066
Short Percent
0.022
Short Ratio
1.9
Shares Short Prior Month
1.5 M
50 Day MA
72.571

Voya Financial Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Voya Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Voya. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Voya can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Voya Financial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Voya Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Voya Financial.

Voya Financial Implied Volatility

    
  0.44  
Voya Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Voya Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Voya Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Voya Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Voya Financial's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Voya Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 76.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.42.

Voya Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 77.09  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Voya Financial to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Voya Stock refer to our How to Trade Voya Stock guide.At present, Voya Financial's Receivables Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 31.78, whereas Asset Turnover is forecasted to decline to 0.05. . The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 151.7 M, whereas Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is forecasted to decline to about 231.2 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Voya Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Voya Financial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Voya Financial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Voya Financial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Voya Financial's open interest, investors have to compare it to Voya Financial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Voya Financial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Voya. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Voya Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Voya price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Voya using various technical indicators. When you analyze Voya charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Voya Financial Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Voya Financial's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
1.3 B
Current Value
1.3 B
Quarterly Volatility
883.9 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Voya Financial is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Voya Financial value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Voya Financial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Voya Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 76.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.81, mean absolute percentage error of 1.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.42.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Voya Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Voya Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Voya Financial Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Voya FinancialVoya Financial Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Voya Financial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Voya Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Voya Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 74.65 and 77.68, respectively. We have considered Voya Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
77.34
76.17
Expected Value
77.68
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Voya Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Voya Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.1563
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.8102
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0112
SAESum of the absolute errors49.4199
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Voya Financial. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Voya Financial. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Voya Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Voya Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Voya Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
75.5877.0978.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
75.7877.2978.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
73.6575.6677.68
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
77.5385.2094.57
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Voya Financial

For every potential investor in Voya, whether a beginner or expert, Voya Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Voya Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Voya. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Voya Financial's price trends.

Voya Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Voya Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Voya Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Voya Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Voya Financial Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Voya Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Voya Financial's current price.

Voya Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Voya Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Voya Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Voya Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Voya Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Voya Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of Voya Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Voya Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting voya stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Voya Financial offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Voya Financial's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Voya Financial Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Voya Financial Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Voya Financial to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Voya Stock refer to our How to Trade Voya Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Diversified Financial Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Voya Financial. If investors know Voya will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Voya Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.837
Dividend Share
1.8
Earnings Share
5.85
Revenue Per Share
84.14
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.088
The market value of Voya Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Voya that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Voya Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Voya Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Voya Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Voya Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Voya Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Voya Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Voya Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.