Bok Financial Stock Price Prediction

BOKF Stock  USD 112.99  1.87  1.68%   
As of 18th of January 2025, the relative strength index (RSI) of BOK Financial's share price is approaching 39 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling BOK Financial, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

39

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of BOK Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of BOK Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from BOK Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with BOK Financial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting BOK Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.071
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.95
EPS Estimate Current Year
8.0132
EPS Estimate Next Year
8.5462
Wall Street Target Price
122.4444
Using BOK Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BOK Financial from the perspective of BOK Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards BOK Financial using BOK Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards BOK using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of BOK Financial's stock price.

BOK Financial Implied Volatility

    
  0.57  
BOK Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of BOK Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if BOK Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that BOK Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when BOK Financial's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in BOK Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying BOK because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

BOK Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 112.98  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current BOK contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that BOK Financial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0356% per day over the life of the 2025-03-21 option contract. With BOK Financial trading at USD 112.99, that is roughly USD 0.0403 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating BOK Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring BOK Financial options at the current volatility level of 0.57%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out BOK Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in BOK Stock please use our How to Invest in BOK Financial guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
101.69117.37119.48
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
111.42122.44135.91
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.921.992.04
Details

BOK Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of BOK Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BOK Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BOK Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

BOK Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting BOK Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BOK Financial's historical news coverage. BOK Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 110.87 and 115.09, respectively. We have considered BOK Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
112.99
110.87
Downside
112.98
After-hype Price
115.09
Upside
BOK Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BOK Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.

BOK Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BOK Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BOK Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BOK Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.07 
2.11
  0.01 
  0.03 
10 Events / Month
16 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
112.99
112.98
0.01 
1,005  
Notes

BOK Financial Hype Timeline

BOK Financial is currently traded for 112.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. BOK is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 112.98. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on BOK Financial is about 472.04%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 112.96. About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.27. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. BOK Financial has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.09. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.29. The firm last dividend was issued on the 15th of November 2024. BOK Financial had 103:100 split on the 6th of May 2004. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out BOK Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in BOK Stock please use our How to Invest in BOK Financial guide.

BOK Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to BOK Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BOK Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how BOK Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BOK Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FFINFirst Financial Bankshares 0.46 11 per month 1.94  0.01  3.22 (3.42) 20.57 
AUBNAuburn National Bancorporation 0.19 6 per month 1.93  0.06  3.27 (2.67) 9.03 
GSBCGreat Southern Bancorp 0.28 9 per month 1.95  0.04  2.91 (2.99) 19.07 
FGBIFirst Guaranty Bancshares 0.11 7 per month 1.92  0.01  3.87 (3.68) 10.78 
BANFBancFirst(1.22)11 per month 1.69  0.07  3.10 (2.89) 20.81 
GBCIGlacier Bancorp(1.17)9 per month 1.84  0.06  3.88 (3.01) 16.78 
FFBCFirst Financial Bancorp 0.18 9 per month 1.73  0.07  3.92 (3.52) 19.52 
FBNCFirst Bancorp(0.20)8 per month 1.92  0.03  3.82 (3.14) 19.15 
CBSHCommerce Bancshares(0.63)9 per month 1.16  0.10  2.63 (1.71) 14.76 
TCBITexas Capital Bancshares(1.28)10 per month 1.87  0.04  3.11 (3.02) 16.16 
UBSIUnited Bankshares(0.22)9 per month 1.54  0.03  3.37 (2.94) 18.45 
PBProsperity Bancshares(3.93)10 per month 1.24  0.07  2.55 (2.25) 13.44 
UMBFUMB Financial(1.14)8 per month 1.54  0.06  3.54 (2.49) 18.75 
CBUCommunity Bank System(1.04)12 per month 2.10  0.04  2.83 (3.29) 19.99 
EQBKEquity Bancshares, 0.55 7 per month 1.56  0.04  3.20 (2.65) 14.55 
FNWDFinward Bancorp 0.03 6 per month 0.00 (0.18) 2.12 (2.53) 8.47 
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares(0.19)9 per month 1.36  0.02  2.53 (2.11) 11.26 
FVCBFVCBankcorp 0.1 7 per month 0.00 (0.03) 4.63 (5.31) 16.48 
ACNBACNB Corporation 0.24 6 per month 0.00 (0.03) 2.96 (3.70) 24.94 
AFBIAffinity Bancshares(0.06)5 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.48 (1.19) 22.47 

BOK Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine BOK price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BOK using various technical indicators. When you analyze BOK charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About BOK Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of BOK Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as BOK Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BOK Financial based on analysis of BOK Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to BOK Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to BOK Financial's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02060.02550.0230.0131
Price To Sales Ratio3.842.852.562.4

Story Coverage note for BOK Financial

The number of cover stories for BOK Financial depends on current market conditions and BOK Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BOK Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BOK Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

BOK Financial Short Properties

BOK Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when BOK Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BOK Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BOK Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BOK Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding65.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments203.8 M

Complementary Tools for BOK Stock analysis

When running BOK Financial's price analysis, check to measure BOK Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BOK Financial is operating at the current time. Most of BOK Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BOK Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BOK Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BOK Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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