Vanguard Utilities Etf Forward View
| VPU Etf | USD 187.40 0.54 0.29% |
Vanguard Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength momentum indicator of Vanguard Utilities' share price is at 50. This entails that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Vanguard Utilities, making its price go up or down. Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Vanguard Utilities hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vanguard Utilities Index from the perspective of Vanguard Utilities response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Vanguard Utilities using Vanguard Utilities' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Vanguard using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Vanguard Utilities' stock price.
Vanguard Utilities Implied Volatility | 0.27 |
Vanguard Utilities' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Vanguard Utilities Index stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Vanguard Utilities' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Vanguard Utilities stock will not fluctuate a lot when Vanguard Utilities' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Vanguard Utilities Index on the next trading day is expected to be 186.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 75.39. Vanguard Utilities after-hype prediction price | USD 187.34 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Vanguard contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Vanguard Utilities Index will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0169% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Vanguard Utilities trading at USD 187.4, that is roughly USD 0.0316 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Vanguard Utilities' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Vanguard Utilities Index options at the current volatility level of 0.27%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Vanguard Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Vanguard Utilities' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Vanguard Utilities' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Vanguard Utilities stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Vanguard Utilities' open interest, investors have to compare it to Vanguard Utilities' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Vanguard Utilities is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Vanguard. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Vanguard Utilities Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Vanguard price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vanguard using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vanguard charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Vanguard Utilities Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Vanguard Utilities Index on the next trading day is expected to be 186.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.24, mean absolute percentage error of 2.54, and the sum of the absolute errors of 75.39.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vanguard Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vanguard Utilities' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Vanguard Utilities Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Vanguard Utilities | Vanguard Utilities Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Vanguard Utilities Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Vanguard Utilities' Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vanguard Utilities' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 185.93 and 187.64, respectively. We have considered Vanguard Utilities' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vanguard Utilities etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vanguard Utilities etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.0418 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2359 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0066 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 75.3899 |
Predictive Modules for Vanguard Utilities
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vanguard Utilities Index. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vanguard Utilities After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Vanguard Utilities at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vanguard Utilities or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Vanguard Utilities, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Vanguard Utilities Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Vanguard Utilities' etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vanguard Utilities' historical news coverage. Vanguard Utilities' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 186.48 and 188.20, respectively. We have considered Vanguard Utilities' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Vanguard Utilities is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vanguard Utilities Index is based on 3 months time horizon.
Vanguard Utilities Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Vanguard Utilities is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vanguard Utilities backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vanguard Utilities, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 0.86 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 6 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
187.40 | 187.34 | 0.03 |
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Vanguard Utilities Hype Timeline
On the 4th of February Vanguard Utilities Index is traded for 187.40. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Vanguard is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 187.34. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 27.3%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.02%. The volatility of related hype on Vanguard Utilities is about 160.15%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 187.39. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.69. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Vanguard Utilities Index recorded earning per share (EPS) of 14.04. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vanguard Utilities to cross-verify your projections.Vanguard Utilities Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Vanguard Utilities' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vanguard Utilities' future price movements. Getting to know how Vanguard Utilities' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vanguard Utilities may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VUIAX | Vanguard Utilities Index | (0.76) | 17 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.25 | (1.36) | 4.41 | |
| VDE | Vanguard Energy Index | (2.60) | 6 per month | 0.97 | 0.16 | 2.31 | (1.77) | 5.10 | |
| VENAX | Vanguard Energy Index | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.93 | 0.16 | 2.26 | (1.78) | 5.09 | |
| VDC | Vanguard Consumer Staples | 0.36 | 7 per month | 0.19 | 0.17 | 1.37 | (0.89) | 3.18 | |
| MGC | Vanguard Mega Cap | 1.46 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 0.98 | (1.27) | 3.87 | |
| VONE | Vanguard Russell 1000 | (0.51) | 3 per month | 0.80 | (0.06) | 1.12 | (1.22) | 3.57 | |
| VIAAX | Vanguard International Dividend | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.65 | 0.02 | 1.01 | (1.15) | 3.59 | |
| VIS | Vanguard Industrials Index | 4.78 | 5 per month | 0.89 | 0.09 | 1.53 | (1.77) | 4.10 | |
| VIGI | Vanguard International Dividend | (0.12) | 3 per month | 0.67 | 0.01 | 0.97 | (1.17) | 3.41 | |
| VCR | Vanguard Consumer Discretionary | (7.98) | 4 per month | 1.17 | (0.02) | 1.89 | (2.33) | 5.26 |
Other Forecasting Options for Vanguard Utilities
For every potential investor in Vanguard, whether a beginner or expert, Vanguard Utilities' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vanguard Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vanguard. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vanguard Utilities' price trends.Vanguard Utilities Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vanguard Utilities etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vanguard Utilities could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vanguard Utilities by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Vanguard Utilities Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vanguard Utilities etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vanguard Utilities shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vanguard Utilities etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Vanguard Utilities Index entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 187.4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 187.4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.27) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.54) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 50.16 |
Vanguard Utilities Risk Indicators
The analysis of Vanguard Utilities' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vanguard Utilities' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vanguard etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6432 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8259 | |||
| Variance | 0.6821 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Vanguard Utilities
The number of cover stories for Vanguard Utilities depends on current market conditions and Vanguard Utilities' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vanguard Utilities is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vanguard Utilities' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vanguard Utilities to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
The market value of Vanguard Utilities Index is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vanguard that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vanguard Utilities' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vanguard Utilities' true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because Vanguard Utilities' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vanguard Utilities' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Utilities' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Utilities is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Vanguard Utilities' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.