Vertiv Holdings Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

VRT Stock  USD 160.78  10.76  6.27%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Vertiv Holdings Co on the next trading day is expected to be 172.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 428.31. Vertiv Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Vertiv Holdings' share price is approaching 45. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Vertiv Holdings, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 45

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Vertiv Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Vertiv Holdings Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Vertiv Holdings' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.217
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.2531
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.1274
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.2867
Wall Street Target Price
198.4479
Using Vertiv Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vertiv Holdings Co from the perspective of Vertiv Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Vertiv Holdings using Vertiv Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Vertiv using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Vertiv Holdings' stock price.

Vertiv Holdings Short Interest

An investor who is long Vertiv Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Vertiv Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge Vertiv Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
134.3182
Short Percent
0.027
Short Ratio
1.4
Shares Short Prior Month
M
50 Day MA
174.3908

Vertiv Holdings Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Vertiv Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Vertiv. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Vertiv can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Vertiv Holdings Co. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Vertiv Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Vertiv Holdings.

Vertiv Holdings Implied Volatility

    
  0.83  
Vertiv Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Vertiv Holdings Co stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Vertiv Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Vertiv Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Vertiv Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Vertiv Holdings Co on the next trading day is expected to be 172.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 428.31.

Vertiv Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 160.49  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vertiv Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
At this time, Vertiv Holdings' Inventory Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Asset Turnover is likely to gain to 1.76 in 2026, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 4.36 in 2026. . Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to gain to about 598.7 M in 2026, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 265.6 M in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Vertiv Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Vertiv Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Vertiv Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Vertiv Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Vertiv Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to Vertiv Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Vertiv Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Vertiv. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Vertiv Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Vertiv price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vertiv using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vertiv charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Vertiv Holdings' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2018-06-30
Previous Quarter
1.7 B
Current Value
1.4 B
Quarterly Volatility
460.7 M
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Vertiv Holdings is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Vertiv Holdings Co value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Vertiv Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 10th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Vertiv Holdings Co on the next trading day is expected to be 172.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.02, mean absolute percentage error of 69.62, and the sum of the absolute errors of 428.31.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vertiv Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vertiv Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Vertiv Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Vertiv HoldingsVertiv Holdings Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Vertiv Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Vertiv Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vertiv Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 168.77 and 175.82, respectively. We have considered Vertiv Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
160.78
168.77
Downside
172.29
Expected Value
175.82
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vertiv Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vertiv Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria122.3536
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation7.0214
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0406
SAESum of the absolute errors428.3082
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Vertiv Holdings Co. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Vertiv Holdings. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Vertiv Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vertiv Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
156.96160.49164.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
144.70169.61173.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
149.07168.24187.41
Details
24 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
180.59198.45220.28
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Vertiv Holdings

For every potential investor in Vertiv, whether a beginner or expert, Vertiv Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vertiv Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vertiv. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vertiv Holdings' price trends.

Vertiv Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vertiv Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vertiv Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vertiv Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Vertiv Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Vertiv Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Vertiv Holdings' current price.

Vertiv Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vertiv Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vertiv Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vertiv Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Vertiv Holdings Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Vertiv Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Vertiv Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vertiv Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vertiv stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Vertiv Stock Analysis

When running Vertiv Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Vertiv Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vertiv Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Vertiv Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vertiv Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vertiv Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vertiv Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.