ViaSat Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

VSAT Stock  USD 9.41  1.08  12.97%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of ViaSat Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 9.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.70. ViaSat Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Inventory Turnover is likely to drop to 8.17 in 2024. Payables Turnover is likely to drop to 6.62 in 2024. Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to gain to about 123 M in 2024. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to gain to about 1.3 B in 2024.
A two period moving average forecast for ViaSat is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

ViaSat Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of ViaSat Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 9.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49, mean absolute percentage error of 0.47, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.70.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ViaSat Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ViaSat's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ViaSat Stock Forecast Pattern

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ViaSat Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ViaSat's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ViaSat's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.26 and 14.56, respectively. We have considered ViaSat's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9.41
9.41
Expected Value
14.56
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ViaSat stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ViaSat stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.6871
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1548
MADMean absolute deviation0.4865
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0445
SAESum of the absolute errors28.705
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of ViaSat Inc price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of ViaSat. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for ViaSat

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ViaSat Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.459.6014.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.4717.0222.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
8.039.0510.07
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
37.0540.7145.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ViaSat. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ViaSat's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ViaSat's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ViaSat Inc.

Other Forecasting Options for ViaSat

For every potential investor in ViaSat, whether a beginner or expert, ViaSat's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ViaSat Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ViaSat. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ViaSat's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

ViaSat Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ViaSat's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ViaSat's current price.

ViaSat Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ViaSat stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ViaSat shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ViaSat stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ViaSat Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ViaSat Risk Indicators

The analysis of ViaSat's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ViaSat's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting viasat stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for ViaSat Stock Analysis

When running ViaSat's price analysis, check to measure ViaSat's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ViaSat is operating at the current time. Most of ViaSat's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ViaSat's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ViaSat's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ViaSat to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.