Vitesse Energy Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

VTS Stock   19.91  0.65  3.37%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Vitesse Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 19.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.57. Vitesse Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of relative strength index of Vitesse Energy's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Vitesse Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Vitesse Energy and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Vitesse Energy's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Vitesse Energy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Vitesse Energy's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.824
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.12
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.92
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.25
Wall Street Target Price
24.5
Using Vitesse Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vitesse Energy from the perspective of Vitesse Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Vitesse Energy using Vitesse Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Vitesse using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Vitesse Energy's stock price.

Vitesse Energy Implied Volatility

    
  0.56  
Vitesse Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Vitesse Energy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Vitesse Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Vitesse Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Vitesse Energy's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Vitesse Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 19.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.57.

Vitesse Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 19.91  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vitesse Energy to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Vitesse Stock please use our How to Invest in Vitesse Energy guide.Payables Turnover is likely to gain to 10.41 in 2026, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop (1.73) in 2026. . Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to gain to about 21.8 M in 2026, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 36 M in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Vitesse Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Vitesse Energy's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Vitesse Energy's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Vitesse Energy stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Vitesse Energy's open interest, investors have to compare it to Vitesse Energy's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Vitesse Energy is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Vitesse. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Vitesse Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Vitesse price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vitesse using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vitesse charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Vitesse Energy's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
2.7 M
Current Value
3.3 M
Quarterly Volatility
2.2 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Vitesse Energy is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Vitesse Energy value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Vitesse Energy Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Vitesse Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 19.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32, mean absolute percentage error of 0.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.57.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vitesse Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vitesse Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Vitesse Energy Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Vitesse EnergyVitesse Energy Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Vitesse Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Vitesse Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vitesse Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.06 and 21.18, respectively. We have considered Vitesse Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
19.91
19.62
Expected Value
21.18
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vitesse Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vitesse Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.187
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3208
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0155
SAESum of the absolute errors19.5715
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Vitesse Energy. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Vitesse Energy. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Vitesse Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vitesse Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vitesse Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.3419.9121.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.8320.4021.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
18.7620.2921.83
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
22.3024.5027.20
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Vitesse Energy

For every potential investor in Vitesse, whether a beginner or expert, Vitesse Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vitesse Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vitesse. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vitesse Energy's price trends.

Vitesse Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vitesse Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vitesse Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vitesse Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Vitesse Energy Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Vitesse Energy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Vitesse Energy's current price.

Vitesse Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vitesse Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vitesse Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vitesse Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Vitesse Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Vitesse Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of Vitesse Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vitesse Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vitesse stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Vitesse Stock Analysis

When running Vitesse Energy's price analysis, check to measure Vitesse Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vitesse Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Vitesse Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vitesse Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vitesse Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vitesse Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.