CM Hospitalar Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

VVEO3 Stock   2.04  0.10  5.15%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CM Hospitalar SA on the next trading day is expected to be 2.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.51. VVEO3 Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for CM Hospitalar - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When CM Hospitalar prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in CM Hospitalar price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of CM Hospitalar SA.

CM Hospitalar Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CM Hospitalar SA on the next trading day is expected to be 2.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.51.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VVEO3 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CM Hospitalar's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CM Hospitalar Stock Forecast Pattern

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CM Hospitalar Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CM Hospitalar's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CM Hospitalar's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 6.98, respectively. We have considered CM Hospitalar's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.04
2.03
Expected Value
6.98
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CM Hospitalar stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CM Hospitalar stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0163
MADMean absolute deviation0.0765
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0361
SAESum of the absolute errors4.5146
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past CM Hospitalar observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older CM Hospitalar SA observations.

Predictive Modules for CM Hospitalar

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CM Hospitalar SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.101.946.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.091.766.71
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CM Hospitalar. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CM Hospitalar's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CM Hospitalar's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CM Hospitalar SA.

Other Forecasting Options for CM Hospitalar

For every potential investor in VVEO3, whether a beginner or expert, CM Hospitalar's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. VVEO3 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in VVEO3. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CM Hospitalar's price trends.

CM Hospitalar Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CM Hospitalar stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CM Hospitalar could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CM Hospitalar by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CM Hospitalar SA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CM Hospitalar's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CM Hospitalar's current price.

CM Hospitalar Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CM Hospitalar stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CM Hospitalar shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CM Hospitalar stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CM Hospitalar SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CM Hospitalar Risk Indicators

The analysis of CM Hospitalar's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CM Hospitalar's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vveo3 stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for VVEO3 Stock Analysis

When running CM Hospitalar's price analysis, check to measure CM Hospitalar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CM Hospitalar is operating at the current time. Most of CM Hospitalar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CM Hospitalar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CM Hospitalar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CM Hospitalar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.