Eco Wave Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

WAVE Stock  USD 5.21  0.05  0.97%   
Eco Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Eco Wave stock prices and determine the direction of Eco Wave Power's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Eco Wave's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength indicator of Eco Wave's share price is approaching 34. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Eco Wave, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 34

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Eco Wave's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Eco Wave and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Eco Wave's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Eco Wave Power, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Eco Wave's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.1)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.66)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.43)
Wall Street Target Price
14.75
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.09)
Using Eco Wave hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Eco Wave Power from the perspective of Eco Wave response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Eco Wave Power on the next trading day is expected to be 5.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.77.

Eco Wave after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 5.22  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Eco Wave to cross-verify your projections.

Eco Wave Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Eco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Eco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Eco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Eco Wave is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Eco Wave Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Eco Wave Power on the next trading day is expected to be 5.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.77.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Eco Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Eco Wave's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Eco Wave Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Eco Wave  Eco Wave Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Eco Wave Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Eco Wave's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Eco Wave's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.98 and 8.44, respectively. We have considered Eco Wave's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5.21
5.21
Expected Value
8.44
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Eco Wave stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Eco Wave stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.3681
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0614
MADMean absolute deviation0.1794
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0272
SAESum of the absolute errors10.765
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Eco Wave Power price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Eco Wave. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Eco Wave

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eco Wave Power. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eco Wave's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.995.228.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.317.5410.77
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.4214.7516.37
Details

Eco Wave After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Eco Wave at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Eco Wave or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Eco Wave, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Eco Wave Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Eco Wave's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Eco Wave's historical news coverage. Eco Wave's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.99 and 8.45, respectively. We have considered Eco Wave's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
5.21
5.22
After-hype Price
8.45
Upside
Eco Wave is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Eco Wave Power is based on 3 months time horizon.

Eco Wave Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Eco Wave is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Eco Wave backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Eco Wave, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.57 
3.23
  0.01 
  0.02 
6 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
5.21
5.22
0.19 
32,300  
Notes

Eco Wave Hype Timeline

Eco Wave Power is at this time traded for 5.21. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Eco is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 5.22 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.19%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.57%. The volatility of related hype on Eco Wave is about 7382.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.23. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 168 K. Net Loss for the year was (2.11 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 126 K. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Eco Wave to cross-verify your projections.

Eco Wave Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Eco Wave's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Eco Wave's future price movements. Getting to know how Eco Wave's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Eco Wave may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
RAINRain Enhancement Technologies(0.07)13 per month 0.00 (0.11) 11.31 (14.38) 48.65 
SUUNSolarBank Common(0.13)1 per month 4.92  0.03  12.94 (8.90) 31.32 
ADNAdvent Technologies Holdings 0.80 8 per month 0.00 (0.16) 9.09 (12.28) 97.06 
HTOOFusion Fuel Green(0.07)4 per month 0.00 (0.06) 6.72 (9.43) 21.24 
BNRGBrenmiller Energy Ltd(0.17)7 per month 0.00 (0.23) 6.86 (15.64) 39.05 
CREGSmart Powerr Corp(0.04)10 per month 4.16  0.01  7.41 (6.99) 25.57 
VGASVerde Clean Fuels(0.04)7 per month 0.00 (0.12) 6.11 (8.24) 17.48 
OPALOPAL Fuels 0.07 6 per month 0.00 (0.03) 10.89 (10.04) 23.34 

Other Forecasting Options for Eco Wave

For every potential investor in Eco, whether a beginner or expert, Eco Wave's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Eco Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Eco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Eco Wave's price trends.

Eco Wave Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Eco Wave stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Eco Wave could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Eco Wave by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Eco Wave Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Eco Wave stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Eco Wave shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Eco Wave stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Eco Wave Power entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Eco Wave Risk Indicators

The analysis of Eco Wave's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Eco Wave's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting eco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Eco Wave

The number of cover stories for Eco Wave depends on current market conditions and Eco Wave's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Eco Wave is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Eco Wave's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Eco Wave Short Properties

Eco Wave's future price predictability will typically decrease when Eco Wave's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Eco Wave Power often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Eco Wave's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eco Wave's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments9.1 M
When determining whether Eco Wave Power is a strong investment it is important to analyze Eco Wave's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Eco Wave's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Eco Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Eco Wave to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Eco Wave. If investors know Eco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Eco Wave listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.56)
Revenue Per Share
0.029
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.40)
Return On Assets
(0.20)
Return On Equity
(0.56)
The market value of Eco Wave Power is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Eco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Eco Wave's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Eco Wave's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Eco Wave's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Eco Wave's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Eco Wave's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Eco Wave is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Eco Wave's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.