Wienerberger Baustoffindustri Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression

WBRBY Stock  USD 5.82  0.01  0.17%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Wienerberger Baustoffindustrie on the next trading day is expected to be 5.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.75. Wienerberger Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Wienerberger Baustoffindustri polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Wienerberger Baustoffindustrie as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Wienerberger Baustoffindustri Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Wienerberger Baustoffindustrie on the next trading day is expected to be 5.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.75.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Wienerberger Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Wienerberger Baustoffindustri's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Wienerberger Baustoffindustri Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Wienerberger Baustoffindustri Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Wienerberger Baustoffindustri's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Wienerberger Baustoffindustri's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.99 and 8.78, respectively. We have considered Wienerberger Baustoffindustri's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5.82
5.89
Expected Value
8.78
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Wienerberger Baustoffindustri pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Wienerberger Baustoffindustri pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.9293
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1598
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0261
SAESum of the absolute errors9.7485
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Wienerberger Baustoffindustri historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Wienerberger Baustoffindustri

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wienerberger Baustoffindustri. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.905.828.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.085.007.92
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wienerberger Baustoffindustri. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wienerberger Baustoffindustri's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wienerberger Baustoffindustri's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Wienerberger Baustoffindustri.

Other Forecasting Options for Wienerberger Baustoffindustri

For every potential investor in Wienerberger, whether a beginner or expert, Wienerberger Baustoffindustri's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Wienerberger Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Wienerberger. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Wienerberger Baustoffindustri's price trends.

Wienerberger Baustoffindustri Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Wienerberger Baustoffindustri pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Wienerberger Baustoffindustri could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Wienerberger Baustoffindustri by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Wienerberger Baustoffindustri Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Wienerberger Baustoffindustri's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Wienerberger Baustoffindustri's current price.

Wienerberger Baustoffindustri Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Wienerberger Baustoffindustri pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Wienerberger Baustoffindustri shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Wienerberger Baustoffindustri pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Wienerberger Baustoffindustrie entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Wienerberger Baustoffindustri Risk Indicators

The analysis of Wienerberger Baustoffindustri's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Wienerberger Baustoffindustri's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wienerberger pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Wienerberger Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Wienerberger Baustoffindustri's price analysis, check to measure Wienerberger Baustoffindustri's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wienerberger Baustoffindustri is operating at the current time. Most of Wienerberger Baustoffindustri's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wienerberger Baustoffindustri's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wienerberger Baustoffindustri's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wienerberger Baustoffindustri to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.