Walker Dunlop Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

WD Stock  USD 64.14  0.71  1.12%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Walker Dunlop on the next trading day is expected to be 68.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.68 and the sum of the absolute errors of 102.29. Walker Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Walker Dunlop stock prices and determine the direction of Walker Dunlop's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Walker Dunlop's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength indicator of Walker Dunlop's share price is approaching 43. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Walker Dunlop, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 43

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Walker Dunlop's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Walker Dunlop and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Walker Dunlop's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Walker Dunlop, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Walker Dunlop's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.151
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.455
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.205
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.0075
Wall Street Target Price
83.3333
Using Walker Dunlop hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Walker Dunlop from the perspective of Walker Dunlop response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Walker Dunlop using Walker Dunlop's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Walker using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Walker Dunlop's stock price.

Walker Dunlop Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Walker Dunlop's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Walker. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Walker Dunlop stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
73.7259
Short Percent
0.0297
Short Ratio
2.42
Shares Short Prior Month
817.3 K
50 Day MA
63.0274

Walker Dunlop Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Walker Dunlop's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Walker. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Walker can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Walker Dunlop. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.

Walker Dunlop Implied Volatility

    
  0.62  
Walker Dunlop's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Walker Dunlop stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Walker Dunlop's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Walker Dunlop stock will not fluctuate a lot when Walker Dunlop's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Walker Dunlop on the next trading day is expected to be 68.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.68 and the sum of the absolute errors of 102.29.

Walker Dunlop after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 64.14  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Walker Dunlop to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Walker Stock refer to our How to Trade Walker Stock guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Walker contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Walker Dunlop will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0388% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Walker Dunlop trading at USD 64.14, that is roughly USD 0.0249 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Walker Dunlop's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Walker Dunlop options at the current volatility level of 0.62%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Walker Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Walker Dunlop's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Walker Dunlop's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Walker Dunlop stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Walker Dunlop's open interest, investors have to compare it to Walker Dunlop's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Walker Dunlop is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Walker. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Walker Dunlop Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Walker price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Walker using various technical indicators. When you analyze Walker charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Walker Dunlop Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Walker Dunlop's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2008-12-31
Previous Quarter
233.7 M
Current Value
274.8 M
Quarterly Volatility
93.4 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Walker Dunlop is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Walker Dunlop value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Walker Dunlop Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Walker Dunlop on the next trading day is expected to be 68.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.68, mean absolute percentage error of 4.24, and the sum of the absolute errors of 102.29.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Walker Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Walker Dunlop's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Walker Dunlop Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Walker DunlopWalker Dunlop Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Walker Dunlop Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Walker Dunlop's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Walker Dunlop's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 65.70 and 70.40, respectively. We have considered Walker Dunlop's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
64.14
68.05
Expected Value
70.40
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Walker Dunlop stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Walker Dunlop stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.5554
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.6769
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0253
SAESum of the absolute errors102.2929
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Walker Dunlop. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Walker Dunlop. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Walker Dunlop

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Walker Dunlop. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Walker Dunlop's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
61.8164.1466.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
57.3259.6570.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
58.2162.1366.05
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
75.8383.3392.50
Details

Walker Dunlop After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Walker Dunlop at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Walker Dunlop or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Walker Dunlop, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Walker Dunlop Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Walker Dunlop's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Walker Dunlop's historical news coverage. Walker Dunlop's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 61.81 and 66.47, respectively. We have considered Walker Dunlop's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
64.14
64.14
After-hype Price
66.47
Upside
Walker Dunlop is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Walker Dunlop is based on 3 months time horizon.

Walker Dunlop Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Walker Dunlop is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Walker Dunlop backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Walker Dunlop, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.43 
2.35
  0.09 
  0.14 
17 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 17 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
64.14
64.14
0.00 
1,068  
Notes

Walker Dunlop Hype Timeline

As of January 23, 2026 Walker Dunlop is listed for 64.14. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.14. Walker is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.43%. %. The volatility of related hype on Walker Dunlop is about 748.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 64.28. About 87.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.24. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Walker Dunlop has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.25. The entity last dividend was issued on the 21st of November 2025. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 17 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Walker Dunlop to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Walker Stock refer to our How to Trade Walker Stock guide.

Walker Dunlop Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Walker Dunlop's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Walker Dunlop's future price movements. Getting to know how Walker Dunlop's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Walker Dunlop may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SEZLSezzle Inc 0.92 7 per month 0.00 (0.04) 6.39 (6.55) 20.23 
ENVAEnova International 1.08 22 per month 1.30  0.20  3.45 (2.81) 14.60 
BANCBanc of California 0.06 10 per month 1.01  0.18  4.35 (1.95) 8.95 
BFHBread Financial Holdings 0.22 14 per month 2.51  0.09  4.36 (3.31) 18.80 
KMPRKemper 0.58 6 per month 0.00 (0.18) 2.31 (3.07) 14.85 
SBCFSeacoast Banking 0.05 11 per month 0.97  0.11  3.69 (1.54) 8.54 
SFNCSimmons First National 1.07 15 per month 1.09  0.08  3.23 (1.56) 6.50 
BKUBankUnited(0.24)6 per month 0.59  0.24  3.30 (1.47) 6.37 
WSBCWesBanco(0.24)16 per month 1.11  0.11  2.95 (1.68) 6.69 
NMIHNMI Holdings(0.36)13 per month 1.78  0.02  2.16 (2.55) 12.17 

Other Forecasting Options for Walker Dunlop

For every potential investor in Walker, whether a beginner or expert, Walker Dunlop's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Walker Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Walker. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Walker Dunlop's price trends.

Walker Dunlop Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Walker Dunlop stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Walker Dunlop could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Walker Dunlop by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Walker Dunlop Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Walker Dunlop stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Walker Dunlop shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Walker Dunlop stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Walker Dunlop entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Walker Dunlop Risk Indicators

The analysis of Walker Dunlop's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Walker Dunlop's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting walker stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Walker Dunlop

The number of cover stories for Walker Dunlop depends on current market conditions and Walker Dunlop's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Walker Dunlop is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Walker Dunlop's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Walker Dunlop Short Properties

Walker Dunlop's future price predictability will typically decrease when Walker Dunlop's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Walker Dunlop often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Walker Dunlop's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Walker Dunlop's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding33.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments279.3 M
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Walker Dunlop to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Walker Stock refer to our How to Trade Walker Stock guide.
You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Walker Dunlop. If investors know Walker will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Walker Dunlop listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.151
Dividend Share
2.66
Earnings Share
3.37
Revenue Per Share
34.839
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.181
The market value of Walker Dunlop is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Walker that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Walker Dunlop's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Walker Dunlop's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Walker Dunlop's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Walker Dunlop's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Walker Dunlop's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Walker Dunlop is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Walker Dunlop's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.