Walker Dunlop Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| WD Stock | USD 108.49 2.33 2.19% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Walker Dunlop on the next trading day is expected to be 108.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 86.20. Walker Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Walker Dunlop stock prices and determine the direction of Walker Dunlop's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Walker Dunlop's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Walker |
Walker Dunlop Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Walker Dunlop on the next trading day is expected to be 108.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.46, mean absolute percentage error of 3.34, and the sum of the absolute errors of 86.20.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Walker Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Walker Dunlop's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Walker Dunlop Stock Forecast Pattern
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Walker Dunlop Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Walker Dunlop's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Walker Dunlop's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 106.83 and 110.00, respectively. We have considered Walker Dunlop's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Walker Dunlop stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Walker Dunlop stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.3087 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.4611 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0134 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 86.2046 |
Predictive Modules for Walker Dunlop
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Walker Dunlop. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Walker Dunlop's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Walker Dunlop
For every potential investor in Walker, whether a beginner or expert, Walker Dunlop's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Walker Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Walker. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Walker Dunlop's price trends.Walker Dunlop Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Walker Dunlop stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Walker Dunlop could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Walker Dunlop by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Walker Dunlop Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Walker Dunlop's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Walker Dunlop's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Walker Dunlop Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Walker Dunlop stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Walker Dunlop shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Walker Dunlop stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Walker Dunlop entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 3827.78 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.8204 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 107.55 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 107.86 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 2.1 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 2.33 |
Walker Dunlop Risk Indicators
The analysis of Walker Dunlop's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Walker Dunlop's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting walker stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Variance | 2.66 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.81 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.59 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.42) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Walker Dunlop to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Walker Stock refer to our How to Trade Walker Stock guide.You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Is Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Walker Dunlop. If investors know Walker will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Walker Dunlop listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.329 | Dividend Share 2.58 | Earnings Share 2.8 | Revenue Per Share 29.859 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.082 |
The market value of Walker Dunlop is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Walker that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Walker Dunlop's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Walker Dunlop's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Walker Dunlop's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Walker Dunlop's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Walker Dunlop's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Walker Dunlop is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Walker Dunlop's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.