WD 40 Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| WDFC Stock | USD 237.84 5.71 2.46% |
WDFC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast WD 40 stock prices and determine the direction of WD 40 Company's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of WD 40's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of WD 40's share price is above 70 at the present time. This entails that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling WDFC, making its price go up or down. Momentum 73
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.08) | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.095 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.56 | Wall Street Target Price 264.5 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1.445 |
Using WD 40 hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of WD 40 Company from the perspective of WD 40 response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards WD 40 using WD 40's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards WDFC using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of WD 40's stock price.
WD 40 Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in WD 40's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards WDFC. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of WD 40 stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 214.4471 | Short Percent 0.0694 | Short Ratio 3.38 | Shares Short Prior Month 642.6 K | 50 Day MA 202.072 |
WDFC Relative Strength Index
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of WD 40 Company on the next trading day is expected to be 240.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.66 and the sum of the absolute errors of 156.65.WD 40 Company Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to WD 40's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in WDFC. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding WDFC can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around WD 40 Company. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of WD 40's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about WD 40.
WD 40 Implied Volatility | 0.4 |
WD 40's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of WD 40 Company stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if WD 40's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that WD 40 stock will not fluctuate a lot when WD 40's options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of WD 40 Company on the next trading day is expected to be 240.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.66 and the sum of the absolute errors of 156.65. WD 40 after-hype prediction price | USD 237.84 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of WD 40 to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current WDFC contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that WD 40 Company will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.025% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With WD 40 trading at USD 237.84, that is roughly USD 0.0595 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating WD 40's daily price movement you should consider acquiring WD 40 Company options at the current volatility level of 0.4%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 WDFC Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast WD 40's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in WD 40's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for WD 40 stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current WD 40's open interest, investors have to compare it to WD 40's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of WD 40 is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in WDFC. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
WD 40 Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine WDFC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for WDFC using various technical indicators. When you analyze WDFC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
WD 40 Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of WD 40 Company on the next trading day is expected to be 240.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.66, mean absolute percentage error of 12.79, and the sum of the absolute errors of 156.65.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict WDFC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that WD 40's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
WD 40 Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest WD 40 | WD 40 Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
WD 40 Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting WD 40's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. WD 40's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 238.67 and 242.04, respectively. We have considered WD 40's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of WD 40 stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent WD 40 stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.7266 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.6551 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0133 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 156.6528 |
Predictive Modules for WD 40
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WD 40 Company. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.WD 40 After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of WD 40 at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in WD 40 or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of WD 40, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
WD 40 Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting WD 40's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on WD 40's historical news coverage. WD 40's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 236.16 and 239.52, respectively. We have considered WD 40's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
WD 40 is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of WD 40 Company is based on 3 months time horizon.
WD 40 Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as WD 40 is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading WD 40 backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with WD 40, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 1.68 | 2.23 | 0.03 | 5 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
237.84 | 237.84 | 0.00 |
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WD 40 Hype Timeline
WD 40 Company is at this time traded for 237.84. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 2.23, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. WDFC is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 24.1%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.32%. %. The volatility of related hype on WD 40 is about 1806.45%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 237.81. About 89.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.35. WD 40 Company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.57. The entity last dividend was issued on the 16th of January 2026. The firm had 2:1 split on the 1st of August 1997. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of WD 40 to cross-verify your projections.WD 40 Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to WD 40's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict WD 40's future price movements. Getting to know how WD 40's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how WD 40 may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PG | Procter Gamble | (0.66) | 7 per month | 1.07 | 0.03 | 1.84 | (1.55) | 5.66 | |
| MSTSX | Morningstar Unconstrained Allocation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.44 | 0.08 | 0.93 | (1.09) | 12.28 | |
| RRTLX | T Rowe Price | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.15 | 0.04 | 0.57 | (0.49) | 3.30 | |
| GSFP | Goldman Sachs | 0.13 | 4 per month | 0.33 | 0.20 | 1.27 | (1.10) | 3.10 | |
| FPCG | First Physicians Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GSFI | Green Stream Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SEIC | SEI Investments | (0.40) | 9 per month | 1.40 | 0.02 | 2.10 | (1.71) | 7.41 | |
| GVPIX | Us Government Plus | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 0.76 | (1.23) | 2.68 | |
| TTNDY | Techtronic Industries Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.92 | 0.04 | 3.23 | (2.45) | 7.25 | |
| VTARX | Virtus Dfa 2040 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.86 | (0.83) | 17.94 |
Other Forecasting Options for WD 40
For every potential investor in WDFC, whether a beginner or expert, WD 40's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. WDFC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in WDFC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying WD 40's price trends.WD 40 Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with WD 40 stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of WD 40 could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing WD 40 by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
WD 40 Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how WD 40 stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading WD 40 shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying WD 40 stock market strength indicators, traders can identify WD 40 Company entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
WD 40 Risk Indicators
The analysis of WD 40's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in WD 40's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wdfc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.18 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.39 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Variance | 2.65 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.26 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.92 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.25) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for WD 40
The number of cover stories for WD 40 depends on current market conditions and WD 40's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that WD 40 is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about WD 40's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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WD 40 Short Properties
WD 40's future price predictability will typically decrease when WD 40's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of WD 40 Company often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential WD 40's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. WD 40's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 58.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of WD 40 to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Will Household Products sector continue expanding? Could WDFC diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of WD 40. Anticipated expansion of WDFC directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every WD 40 data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.08) | Dividend Share 3.84 | Earnings Share 6.57 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.006 |
Investors evaluate WD 40 Company using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating WD 40's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause WD 40's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between WD 40's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if WD 40 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, WD 40's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.