WD 40 Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| WDFC Stock | USD 280.27 6.22 2.17% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of WD 40 Company on the next trading day is expected to be 281.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 198.38. WDFC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast WD 40 stock prices and determine the direction of WD 40 Company's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of WD 40's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
WDFC |
WD 40 Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of WD 40 Company on the next trading day is expected to be 281.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.36, mean absolute percentage error of 19.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 198.38.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict WDFC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that WD 40's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
WD 40 Stock Forecast Pattern
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WD 40 Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting WD 40's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. WD 40's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 280.10 and 282.91, respectively. We have considered WD 40's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of WD 40 stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent WD 40 stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.6198 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.3624 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0127 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 198.3802 |
Predictive Modules for WD 40
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WD 40 Company. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for WD 40
For every potential investor in WDFC, whether a beginner or expert, WD 40's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. WDFC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in WDFC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying WD 40's price trends.WD 40 Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with WD 40 stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of WD 40 could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing WD 40 by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
WD 40 Company Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of WD 40's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of WD 40's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
WD 40 Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how WD 40 stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading WD 40 shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying WD 40 stock market strength indicators, traders can identify WD 40 Company entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2903.35 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.78) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 283.99 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 282.75 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (6.83) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (6.22) |
WD 40 Risk Indicators
The analysis of WD 40's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in WD 40's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wdfc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.07 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.39 | |||
| Variance | 1.94 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.21 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.64 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.13) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether WD 40 Company offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of WD 40's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Wd 40 Company Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Wd 40 Company Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of WD 40 to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Is Household Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of WD 40. If investors know WDFC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about WD 40 listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.016 | Dividend Share 3.52 | Earnings Share 5.11 | Revenue Per Share 43.571 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.111 |
The market value of WD 40 Company is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of WDFC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of WD 40's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is WD 40's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because WD 40's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect WD 40's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between WD 40's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if WD 40 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, WD 40's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.