Walt Disney Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

WDP Stock  EUR 96.64  1.08  1.13%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of The Walt Disney on the next trading day is expected to be 96.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 62.17. Walt Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Walt Disney's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 22nd of January 2026 the value of rsi of Walt Disney's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Walt Disney's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Walt Disney and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Walt Disney's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with The Walt Disney, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Walt Disney hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The Walt Disney from the perspective of Walt Disney response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of The Walt Disney on the next trading day is expected to be 96.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 62.17.

Walt Disney after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 95.56  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Walt Disney to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Walt Stock please use our How to Invest in Walt Disney guide.

Walt Disney Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Walt price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Walt using various technical indicators. When you analyze Walt charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Walt Disney simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for The Walt Disney are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Walt Disney prices get older.

Walt Disney Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of The Walt Disney on the next trading day is expected to be 96.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.04, mean absolute percentage error of 2.39, and the sum of the absolute errors of 62.17.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Walt Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Walt Disney's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Walt Disney Stock Forecast Pattern

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Walt Disney Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Walt Disney's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Walt Disney's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 94.77 and 98.03, respectively. We have considered Walt Disney's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
96.64
96.40
Expected Value
98.03
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Walt Disney stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Walt Disney stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.1439
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.001
MADMean absolute deviation1.0362
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.011
SAESum of the absolute errors62.1746
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting The Walt Disney forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Walt Disney observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Walt Disney

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Walt Disney. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
93.9395.5697.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
78.0479.67105.12
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Walt Disney

For every potential investor in Walt, whether a beginner or expert, Walt Disney's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Walt Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Walt. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Walt Disney's price trends.

Walt Disney Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Walt Disney stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Walt Disney could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Walt Disney by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Walt Disney Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Walt Disney's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Walt Disney's current price.

Walt Disney Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Walt Disney stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Walt Disney shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Walt Disney stock market strength indicators, traders can identify The Walt Disney entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Walt Disney Risk Indicators

The analysis of Walt Disney's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Walt Disney's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting walt stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Walt Stock

Walt Disney financial ratios help investors to determine whether Walt Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Walt with respect to the benefits of owning Walt Disney security.