Wells Fargo Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

WFC Stock  EUR 87.35  0.40  0.46%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of West Fraser Timber on the next trading day is expected to be 88.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 89.91. Wells Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Wells Fargo's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for West Fraser Timber is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Wells Fargo 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of West Fraser Timber on the next trading day is expected to be 88.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.58, mean absolute percentage error of 3.81, and the sum of the absolute errors of 89.91.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Wells Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Wells Fargo's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Wells Fargo Stock Forecast Pattern

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Wells Fargo Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Wells Fargo's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Wells Fargo's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 86.67 and 89.91, respectively. We have considered Wells Fargo's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
87.35
88.29
Expected Value
89.91
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Wells Fargo stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Wells Fargo stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.0962
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1686
MADMean absolute deviation1.5774
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0179
SAESum of the absolute errors89.91
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Wells Fargo. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for West Fraser Timber and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Wells Fargo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as West Fraser Timber. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
86.1387.7589.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
86.0387.6589.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
86.4690.4994.52
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Wells Fargo

For every potential investor in Wells, whether a beginner or expert, Wells Fargo's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Wells Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Wells. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Wells Fargo's price trends.

Wells Fargo Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Wells Fargo stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Wells Fargo could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Wells Fargo by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

West Fraser Timber Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Wells Fargo's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Wells Fargo's current price.

Wells Fargo Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Wells Fargo stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Wells Fargo shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Wells Fargo stock market strength indicators, traders can identify West Fraser Timber entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Wells Fargo Risk Indicators

The analysis of Wells Fargo's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Wells Fargo's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wells stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Wells Stock

When determining whether West Fraser Timber is a strong investment it is important to analyze Wells Fargo's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Wells Fargo's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Wells Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Wells Fargo to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Wells Stock please use our How to Invest in Wells Fargo guide.
You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Wells Fargo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Wells Fargo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Wells Fargo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.