Weatherford International Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| WFRD Stock | USD 91.45 1.81 1.94% |
Weatherford Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Weatherford International stock prices and determine the direction of Weatherford International plc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Weatherford International's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Weatherford International's stock price is about 61. This entails that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Weatherford, making its price go up or down. Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.46) | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.6541 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.3343 | Wall Street Target Price 81.9 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.13) |
Using Weatherford International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Weatherford International plc from the perspective of Weatherford International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Weatherford International using Weatherford International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Weatherford using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Weatherford International's stock price.
Weatherford International Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Weatherford International's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Weatherford. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Weatherford International stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 56.9249 | Short Percent 0.0596 | Short Ratio 4.06 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.1 M | 50 Day MA 66.5099 |
Weatherford Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Weatherford International plc on the next trading day is expected to be 92.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.80 and the sum of the absolute errors of 106.03.Weatherford International Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Weatherford International's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Weatherford. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Weatherford can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Weatherford International plc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Weatherford International's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Weatherford International.
Weatherford International Implied Volatility | 0.6 |
Weatherford International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Weatherford International plc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Weatherford International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Weatherford International stock will not fluctuate a lot when Weatherford International's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Weatherford International plc on the next trading day is expected to be 92.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.80 and the sum of the absolute errors of 106.03. Weatherford International after-hype prediction price | USD 93.94 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Weatherford | Build AI portfolio with Weatherford Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Weatherford contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Weatherford International plc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0375% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Weatherford International trading at USD 91.45, that is roughly USD 0.0343 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Weatherford International's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Weatherford International plc options at the current volatility level of 0.6%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Weatherford Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Weatherford International's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Weatherford International's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Weatherford International stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Weatherford International's open interest, investors have to compare it to Weatherford International's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Weatherford International is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Weatherford. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Weatherford International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Weatherford price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Weatherford using various technical indicators. When you analyze Weatherford charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Weatherford International Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Weatherford International plc on the next trading day is expected to be 92.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.80, mean absolute percentage error of 5.42, and the sum of the absolute errors of 106.03.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Weatherford Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Weatherford International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Weatherford International Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Weatherford International | Weatherford International Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Weatherford International Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Weatherford International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Weatherford International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 89.79 and 94.92, respectively. We have considered Weatherford International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Weatherford International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Weatherford International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.1256 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.4829 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.7971 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0224 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 106.03 |
Predictive Modules for Weatherford International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Weatherford International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Weatherford International After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Weatherford International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Weatherford International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Weatherford International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Weatherford International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Weatherford International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Weatherford International's historical news coverage. Weatherford International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 91.38 and 96.50, respectively. We have considered Weatherford International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Weatherford International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Weatherford International is based on 3 months time horizon.
Weatherford International Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Weatherford International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Weatherford International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Weatherford International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.46 | 2.56 | 0.30 | 0.40 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
91.45 | 93.94 | 0.73 |
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Weatherford International Hype Timeline
Weatherford International is at this time traded for 91.45. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.3, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.4. Weatherford is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 93.94 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.73%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.46%. The volatility of related hype on Weatherford International is about 291.9%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 91.85. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 5.51 B. Net Income was 550 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.56 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Weatherford International to cross-verify your projections.Weatherford International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Weatherford International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Weatherford International's future price movements. Getting to know how Weatherford International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Weatherford International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NOV | NOV Inc | 0.55 | 11 per month | 1.75 | 0.19 | 5.89 | (3.46) | 12.79 | |
| SOBO | South Bow | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.31 | 0.04 | 2.27 | (2.41) | 8.35 | |
| FRO | Frontline | 0.52 | 11 per month | 2.40 | 0.07 | 3.42 | (3.95) | 13.55 | |
| AROC | Archrock | 1.47 | 18 per month | 1.41 | 0.09 | 2.65 | (2.44) | 6.67 | |
| CHRD | Chord Energy Corp | 5.75 | 8 per month | 2.05 | 0.05 | 3.54 | (3.61) | 9.26 | |
| VIST | Vista Oil Gas | 0.46 | 8 per month | 1.74 | 0.20 | 6.23 | (3.43) | 23.65 | |
| VAL | Valaris | (0.29) | 7 per month | 2.34 | 0.08 | 3.95 | (3.39) | 20.91 | |
| CNX | CNX Resources Corp | 0.31 | 9 per month | 1.57 | 0.1 | 3.38 | (2.77) | 8.32 | |
| NE | Noble plc | (0.18) | 9 per month | 1.77 | 0.12 | 4.50 | (2.86) | 13.91 | |
| MTDR | Matador Resources | 0.18 | 11 per month | 2.05 | 0.04 | 3.10 | (4.01) | 9.03 |
Other Forecasting Options for Weatherford International
For every potential investor in Weatherford, whether a beginner or expert, Weatherford International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Weatherford Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Weatherford. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Weatherford International's price trends.Weatherford International Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Weatherford International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Weatherford International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Weatherford International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Weatherford International Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Weatherford International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Weatherford International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Weatherford International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Weatherford International plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 91.45 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 91.45 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.91) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.81) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 61.82 |
Weatherford International Risk Indicators
The analysis of Weatherford International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Weatherford International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting weatherford stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.95 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.71 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.56 | |||
| Variance | 6.54 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.06 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.92 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.34) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Weatherford International
The number of cover stories for Weatherford International depends on current market conditions and Weatherford International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Weatherford International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Weatherford International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Weatherford International Short Properties
Weatherford International's future price predictability will typically decrease when Weatherford International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Weatherford International plc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Weatherford International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Weatherford International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 74.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 916 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Weatherford International to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Is Oil & Gas Equipment & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Weatherford International. If investors know Weatherford will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Weatherford International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.46) | Dividend Share 1 | Earnings Share 5.52 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.13) |
The market value of Weatherford International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Weatherford that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Weatherford International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Weatherford International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Weatherford International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Weatherford International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Weatherford International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Weatherford International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Weatherford International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.