Whirlpool Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

WHR Stock  USD 111.18  1.38  1.26%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Whirlpool on the next trading day is expected to be 108.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 84.45. Whirlpool Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Whirlpool's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Whirlpool's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Whirlpool fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, Whirlpool's Payables Turnover is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 11/22/2024, Receivables Turnover is likely to grow to 13.36, while Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 5.23. . As of 11/22/2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to grow to about 57.7 M, though Net Loss is likely to grow to (1.7 B).

Whirlpool Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Whirlpool's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1985-12-31
Previous Quarter
1.2 B
Current Value
1.1 B
Quarterly Volatility
734.1 M
 
Black Monday
 
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Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
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Covid
A naive forecasting model for Whirlpool is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Whirlpool value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Whirlpool Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Whirlpool on the next trading day is expected to be 108.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.36, mean absolute percentage error of 3.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 84.45.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Whirlpool Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Whirlpool's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Whirlpool Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest WhirlpoolWhirlpool Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Whirlpool Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Whirlpool's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Whirlpool's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 106.55 and 111.03, respectively. We have considered Whirlpool's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
111.18
106.55
Downside
108.79
Expected Value
111.03
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Whirlpool stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Whirlpool stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.1445
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.3622
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0133
SAESum of the absolute errors84.4536
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Whirlpool. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Whirlpool. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Whirlpool

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Whirlpool. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
109.28111.51113.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
101.69103.92122.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
103.68109.21114.74
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
117.30128.90143.08
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Whirlpool. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Whirlpool's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Whirlpool's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Whirlpool.

Other Forecasting Options for Whirlpool

For every potential investor in Whirlpool, whether a beginner or expert, Whirlpool's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Whirlpool Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Whirlpool. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Whirlpool's price trends.

Whirlpool Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Whirlpool stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Whirlpool could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Whirlpool by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Whirlpool Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Whirlpool's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Whirlpool's current price.

Whirlpool Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Whirlpool stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Whirlpool shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Whirlpool stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Whirlpool entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Whirlpool Risk Indicators

The analysis of Whirlpool's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Whirlpool's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting whirlpool stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Whirlpool

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Whirlpool position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Whirlpool will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Whirlpool Stock

  0.66FLXS Flexsteel IndustriesPairCorr

Moving against Whirlpool Stock

  0.76DIBS 1StdibsComPairCorr
  0.7NVFY Nova Lifestyle IPairCorr
  0.65PRPL Purple InnovationPairCorr
  0.64ATER AterianPairCorr
  0.52HBB Hamilton Beach BrandsPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Whirlpool could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Whirlpool when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Whirlpool - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Whirlpool to buy it.
The correlation of Whirlpool is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Whirlpool moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Whirlpool moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Whirlpool can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Whirlpool Stock Analysis

When running Whirlpool's price analysis, check to measure Whirlpool's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Whirlpool is operating at the current time. Most of Whirlpool's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Whirlpool's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Whirlpool's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Whirlpool to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.