Wisekey International Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average
| WIHN Stock | CHF 12.78 0.92 6.72% |
Wisekey Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the value of RSI of Wisekey International's share price is approaching 46. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Wisekey International, making its price go up or down. Momentum 46
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Wisekey International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Wisekey International Holding from the perspective of Wisekey International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Wisekey International Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 13.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 74.07. Wisekey International after-hype prediction price | CHF 12.78 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Wisekey |
Wisekey International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Wisekey price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Wisekey using various technical indicators. When you analyze Wisekey charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Wisekey International 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Wisekey International Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 13.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.37, mean absolute percentage error of 3.70, and the sum of the absolute errors of 74.07.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Wisekey Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Wisekey International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Wisekey International Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Wisekey International | Wisekey International Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Wisekey International Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Wisekey International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Wisekey International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.14 and 20.37, respectively. We have considered Wisekey International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Wisekey International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Wisekey International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 106.5549 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.8483 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.3716 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0918 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 74.0663 |
Predictive Modules for Wisekey International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wisekey International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Wisekey International After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Wisekey International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Wisekey International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Wisekey International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Wisekey International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Wisekey International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Wisekey International's historical news coverage. Wisekey International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.17 and 19.39, respectively. We have considered Wisekey International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Wisekey International is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Wisekey International is based on 3 months time horizon.
Wisekey International Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Wisekey International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Wisekey International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Wisekey International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.89 | 6.61 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
12.78 | 12.78 | 0.00 |
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Wisekey International Hype Timeline
Wisekey International is at this time traded for 12.78on SIX Swiss Exchange of Switzerland. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.06. Wisekey is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.89%. %. The volatility of related hype on Wisekey International is about 10058.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.84. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.64. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Wisekey International recorded a loss per share of 0.28. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 50:1 split on the 30th of June 2023. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be any time. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Wisekey International to cross-verify your projections.Wisekey International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Wisekey International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Wisekey International's future price movements. Getting to know how Wisekey International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Wisekey International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WKEY | Wisekey International Holding | 0.53 | 8 per month | 7.70 | 0.02 | 16.61 | (12.52) | 46.61 | |
| LAES | SEALSQ Corp | (0.07) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 11.34 | (9.35) | 35.63 | |
| WSKEF | WISeKey International Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,185 | |
| AMS | Ams AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 5.45 | (5.53) | 25.35 | |
| EVE | Evolva Holding SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.75 | (0.0009) | 8.00 | (7.14) | 26.00 | |
| SANN | Santhera Pharmaceuticals Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.27 | 0.1 | 5.79 | (4.47) | 18.87 | |
| MOLN | Molecular Partners AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.28 | 0.04 | 7.50 | (5.28) | 22.81 |
Other Forecasting Options for Wisekey International
For every potential investor in Wisekey, whether a beginner or expert, Wisekey International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Wisekey Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Wisekey. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Wisekey International's price trends.Wisekey International Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Wisekey International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Wisekey International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Wisekey International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Wisekey International Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Wisekey International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Wisekey International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Wisekey International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Wisekey International Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 3346.56 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.75) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.93 | |||
| Day Median Price | 13.13 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 13.01 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.81) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.92) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 46.49 |
Wisekey International Risk Indicators
The analysis of Wisekey International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Wisekey International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wisekey stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.43 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 7.18 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 9.3 | |||
| Variance | 86.58 | |||
| Downside Variance | 54.94 | |||
| Semi Variance | 51.54 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (7.41) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Wisekey International
The number of cover stories for Wisekey International depends on current market conditions and Wisekey International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Wisekey International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Wisekey International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Wisekey International Short Properties
Wisekey International's future price predictability will typically decrease when Wisekey International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Wisekey International Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Wisekey International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wisekey International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 71.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 34.2 M |
Additional Tools for Wisekey Stock Analysis
When running Wisekey International's price analysis, check to measure Wisekey International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wisekey International is operating at the current time. Most of Wisekey International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wisekey International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wisekey International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wisekey International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.