Wingstop Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

WING Stock  USD 337.60  0.81  0.24%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Wingstop on the next trading day is expected to be 336.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 12.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 719.21. Wingstop Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Wingstop's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The Wingstop's current Inventory Turnover is estimated to increase to 455.25, while Payables Turnover is projected to decrease to 20.63. . The Wingstop's current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 32.2 M. The Wingstop's current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 63.9 M.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Wingstop is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Wingstop 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Wingstop on the next trading day is expected to be 336.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 12.62, mean absolute percentage error of 321.81, and the sum of the absolute errors of 719.21.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Wingstop Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Wingstop's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Wingstop Stock Forecast Pattern

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Wingstop Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Wingstop's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Wingstop's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 333.25 and 340.16, respectively. We have considered Wingstop's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
337.60
333.25
Downside
336.70
Expected Value
340.16
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Wingstop stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Wingstop stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.533
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.7017
MADMean absolute deviation12.6177
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0365
SAESum of the absolute errors719.2075
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Wingstop. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Wingstop and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Wingstop

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wingstop. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
334.75338.18341.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
254.69258.12371.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
337.11337.87338.63
Details
26 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
184.07202.28224.53
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Wingstop

For every potential investor in Wingstop, whether a beginner or expert, Wingstop's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Wingstop Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Wingstop. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Wingstop's price trends.

Wingstop Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Wingstop stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Wingstop could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Wingstop by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Wingstop Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Wingstop's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Wingstop's current price.

Wingstop Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Wingstop stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Wingstop shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Wingstop stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Wingstop entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Wingstop Risk Indicators

The analysis of Wingstop's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Wingstop's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wingstop stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Wingstop is a strong investment it is important to analyze Wingstop's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Wingstop's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Wingstop Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Wingstop to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Wingstop Stock please use our How to Invest in Wingstop guide.
You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Wingstop. If investors know Wingstop will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Wingstop listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.353
Dividend Share
0.93
Earnings Share
3.41
Revenue Per Share
20.144
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.388
The market value of Wingstop is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Wingstop that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Wingstop's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Wingstop's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Wingstop's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Wingstop's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Wingstop's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Wingstop is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Wingstop's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.