Wir Asia Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

WIRG Stock   95.00  3.00  3.06%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Wir Asia Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 95.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 189.00. Wir Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Wir Asia simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Wir Asia Tbk are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Wir Asia Tbk prices get older.

Wir Asia Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Wir Asia Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 95.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.15, mean absolute percentage error of 24.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 189.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Wir Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Wir Asia's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Wir Asia Stock Forecast Pattern

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Wir Asia Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Wir Asia's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Wir Asia's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 90.54 and 99.46, respectively. We have considered Wir Asia's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
95.00
95.00
Expected Value
99.46
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Wir Asia stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Wir Asia stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.4528
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.2167
MADMean absolute deviation3.15
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0291
SAESum of the absolute errors189.0
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Wir Asia Tbk forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Wir Asia observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Wir Asia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wir Asia Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
93.5498.00102.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
82.4886.94107.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
90.44106.17121.89
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Wir Asia

For every potential investor in Wir, whether a beginner or expert, Wir Asia's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Wir Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Wir. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Wir Asia's price trends.

Wir Asia Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Wir Asia stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Wir Asia could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Wir Asia by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Wir Asia Tbk Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Wir Asia's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Wir Asia's current price.

Wir Asia Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Wir Asia stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Wir Asia shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Wir Asia stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Wir Asia Tbk entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Wir Asia Risk Indicators

The analysis of Wir Asia's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Wir Asia's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wir stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Wir Stock

Wir Asia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wir Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wir with respect to the benefits of owning Wir Asia security.