Williams Companies Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

WMB Stock  USD 64.99  1.27  1.99%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Williams Companies on the next trading day is expected to be 65.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.76 and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.40. Williams Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Williams Companies stock prices and determine the direction of Williams Companies's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Williams Companies' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the value of relative strength index of Williams Companies' share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Williams Companies' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Williams Companies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Williams Companies' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.09)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.5627
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.1231
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.2531
Wall Street Target Price
68.6519
Using Williams Companies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Williams Companies from the perspective of Williams Companies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Williams Companies using Williams Companies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Williams using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Williams Companies' stock price.

Williams Companies Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Williams Companies' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Williams. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Williams Companies stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
59.476
Short Percent
0.0143
Short Ratio
2.48
Shares Short Prior Month
13 M
50 Day MA
60.2918

Williams Companies Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Williams Companies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Williams. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Williams can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Williams Companies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.

Williams Companies Implied Volatility

    
  0.35  
Williams Companies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Williams Companies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Williams Companies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Williams Companies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Williams Companies' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Williams Companies on the next trading day is expected to be 65.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.76 and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.40.

Williams Companies after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 63.6  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Williams Companies to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Williams Stock refer to our How to Trade Williams Stock guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Williams contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Williams Companies will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0219% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Williams Companies trading at USD 64.99, that is roughly USD 0.0142 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Williams Companies' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Williams Companies options at the current volatility level of 0.35%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Williams Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Williams Companies' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Williams Companies' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Williams Companies stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Williams Companies' open interest, investors have to compare it to Williams Companies' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Williams Companies is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Williams. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Williams Companies Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Williams price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Williams using various technical indicators. When you analyze Williams charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Williams Companies Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Williams Companies' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1994-03-31
Previous Quarter
903 M
Current Value
70 M
Quarterly Volatility
718.8 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Williams Companies is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Williams Companies value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Williams Companies Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Williams Companies on the next trading day is expected to be 65.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.76, mean absolute percentage error of 0.90, and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.40.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Williams Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Williams Companies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Williams Companies Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Williams CompaniesWilliams Companies Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Williams Companies Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Williams Companies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Williams Companies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 63.56 and 66.48, respectively. We have considered Williams Companies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
64.99
65.02
Expected Value
66.48
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Williams Companies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Williams Companies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.9998
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.7607
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0127
SAESum of the absolute errors46.404
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Williams Companies. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Williams Companies. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Williams Companies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Williams Companies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
62.1463.6065.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
62.2163.6765.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
57.8960.4362.97
Details
22 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
62.4768.6576.20
Details

Williams Companies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Williams Companies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Williams Companies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Williams Companies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Williams Companies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Williams Companies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Williams Companies' historical news coverage. Williams Companies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 62.14 and 65.06, respectively. We have considered Williams Companies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
64.99
63.60
After-hype Price
65.06
Upside
Williams Companies is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Williams Companies is based on 3 months time horizon.

Williams Companies Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Williams Companies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Williams Companies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Williams Companies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.19 
1.46
  0.12 
  0.03 
11 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
64.99
63.60
0.19 
228.12  
Notes

Williams Companies Hype Timeline

On the 23rd of January Williams Companies is traded for 64.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Williams is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 63.6. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.19%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Williams Companies is about 879.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 64.96. About 89.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.96. Williams Companies last dividend was issued on the 12th of December 2025. The entity had 10000:8152 split on the 3rd of January 2012. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Williams Companies to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Williams Stock refer to our How to Trade Williams Stock guide.

Williams Companies Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Williams Companies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Williams Companies' future price movements. Getting to know how Williams Companies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Williams Companies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
EPDEnterprise Products Partners 0.28 6 per month 0.54  0.09  1.50 (1.34) 3.38 
PBR-APetrleo Brasileiro SA(2.07)27 per month 1.58  0.09  3.19 (2.07) 10.67 
ETEnergy Transfer LP 0.20 11 per month 0.64  0.07  2.22 (1.33) 3.94 
PBRPetroleo Brasileiro Petrobras 0.32 9 per month 1.33  0.12  3.57 (1.82) 11.62 
KMIKinder Morgan 0.27 8 per month 1.35  0.03  2.01 (1.73) 6.34 
MPCMarathon Petroleum Corp(0.38)8 per month 0.00 (0.07) 3.11 (3.66) 10.07 
CNQCanadian Natural Resources(0.59)10 per month 1.62  0.1  3.14 (1.99) 9.23 
MPLXMPLX LP 0.09 9 per month 0.82  0.12  1.73 (1.73) 4.74 
TRPTC Energy Corp 0.52 8 per month 0.84  0.02  2.09 (1.48) 5.93 
OKEONEOK Inc(0.30)7 per month 1.29  0.1  2.45 (2.33) 6.82 

Other Forecasting Options for Williams Companies

For every potential investor in Williams, whether a beginner or expert, Williams Companies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Williams Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Williams. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Williams Companies' price trends.

Williams Companies Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Williams Companies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Williams Companies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Williams Companies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Williams Companies Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Williams Companies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Williams Companies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Williams Companies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Williams Companies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Williams Companies Risk Indicators

The analysis of Williams Companies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Williams Companies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting williams stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Williams Companies

The number of cover stories for Williams Companies depends on current market conditions and Williams Companies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Williams Companies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Williams Companies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Williams Companies Short Properties

Williams Companies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Williams Companies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Williams Companies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Williams Companies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Williams Companies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.2 B
Cash And Short Term Investments60 M
When determining whether Williams Companies offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Williams Companies' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Williams Companies Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Williams Companies Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Williams Companies to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Williams Stock refer to our How to Trade Williams Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Williams Companies. If investors know Williams will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Williams Companies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.09)
Dividend Share
1.975
Earnings Share
1.93
Revenue Per Share
9.488
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.083
The market value of Williams Companies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Williams that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Williams Companies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Williams Companies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Williams Companies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Williams Companies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Williams Companies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Williams Companies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Williams Companies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.