Wal Mart OTC Stock Forward View
| WMMVY Stock | USD 31.78 0.04 0.13% |
Wal OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the value of RSI of Wal Mart's share price is approaching 46. This entails that the otc stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Wal Mart, making its price go up or down. Momentum 46
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Wal Mart based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Wal Mart hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Wal Mart de from the perspective of Wal Mart response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Wal Mart de on the next trading day is expected to be 31.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.70. Wal Mart after-hype prediction price | USD 31.78 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Wal |
Wal Mart Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Wal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Wal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Wal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Wal Mart Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Wal Mart de on the next trading day is expected to be 31.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.70.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Wal OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Wal Mart's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Wal Mart OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Wal Mart | Wal Mart Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Wal Mart Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Wal Mart's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Wal Mart's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29.91 and 32.60, respectively. We have considered Wal Mart's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Wal Mart otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Wal Mart otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.1437 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3066 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0095 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 18.6996 |
Predictive Modules for Wal Mart
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wal Mart de. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wal Mart's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Wal Mart After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Wal Mart at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Wal Mart or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Wal Mart, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Wal Mart Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Wal Mart's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Wal Mart's historical news coverage. Wal Mart's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 30.43 and 33.13, respectively. We have considered Wal Mart's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Wal Mart is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Wal Mart de is based on 3 months time horizon.
Wal Mart OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Wal Mart is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Wal Mart backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Wal Mart, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.34 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 3 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
31.78 | 31.78 | 0.00 |
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Wal Mart Hype Timeline
Wal Mart de is at this time traded for 31.78. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Wal is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 72.04%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Wal Mart is about 2627.45%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.78. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.16. Wal Mart de last dividend was issued on the 22nd of December 2022. The entity had 2:1 split on the 28th of April 2010. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Wal Mart to cross-verify your projections.Wal Mart Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Wal Mart's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Wal Mart's future price movements. Getting to know how Wal Mart's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Wal Mart may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DANOY | Danone PK | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.32 | (1.97) | 9.35 | |
| GPDNF | Danone SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.32 | (2.58) | 12.32 | |
| DGEAF | Diageo plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.45 | (3.51) | 9.95 | |
| RBGLY | Reckitt Benckiser Group | (1.86) | 3 per month | 0.70 | 0.05 | 1.79 | (1.34) | 4.41 | |
| RBGPF | Reckitt Benckiser Group | 3.16 | 21 per month | 2.74 | 0.03 | 3.92 | (4.70) | 11.34 | |
| JAPAY | Japan Tobacco ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.78 | 0.1 | 2.19 | (1.32) | 7.49 | |
| JAPAF | Japan Tobacco | (1.86) | 6 per month | 3.51 | (0.01) | 3.85 | (8.32) | 21.17 | |
| TSCDY | Tesco PLC | 0.05 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.25 | (2.60) | 10.39 | |
| DLMAF | Dollarama | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.41 | 0.02 | 2.54 | (1.80) | 13.27 | |
| AHODF | Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.97 | (3.60) | 11.25 |
Other Forecasting Options for Wal Mart
For every potential investor in Wal, whether a beginner or expert, Wal Mart's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Wal OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Wal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Wal Mart's price trends.Wal Mart Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Wal Mart otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Wal Mart could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Wal Mart by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Wal Mart Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Wal Mart otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Wal Mart shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Wal Mart otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Wal Mart de entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Wal Mart Risk Indicators
The analysis of Wal Mart's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Wal Mart's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wal otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.05 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Variance | 1.8 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Wal Mart
The number of cover stories for Wal Mart depends on current market conditions and Wal Mart's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Wal Mart is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Wal Mart's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Wal OTC Stock Analysis
When running Wal Mart's price analysis, check to measure Wal Mart's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wal Mart is operating at the current time. Most of Wal Mart's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wal Mart's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wal Mart's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wal Mart to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.