Wabash National Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| WNC Stock | USD 11.03 0.07 0.64% |
Wabash Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Wabash National stock prices and determine the direction of Wabash National's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Wabash National's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Wabash National's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 12.744 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.09) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.3669 | Wall Street Target Price 13.5 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.76) |
Using Wabash National hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Wabash National from the perspective of Wabash National response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Wabash National using Wabash National's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Wabash using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Wabash National's stock price.
Wabash National Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Wabash National's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Wabash. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Wabash National stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 9.7057 | Short Percent 0.0748 | Short Ratio 3.83 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.9 M | 50 Day MA 9.5868 |
Wabash Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Wabash National on the next trading day is expected to be 10.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.78.Wabash National Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Wabash National's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Wabash. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Wabash can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Wabash National. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Wabash National's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Wabash National.
Wabash National Implied Volatility | 1.03 |
Wabash National's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Wabash National stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Wabash National's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Wabash National stock will not fluctuate a lot when Wabash National's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Wabash National on the next trading day is expected to be 10.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.78. Wabash National after-hype prediction price | USD 11.34 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Wabash National to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Wabash contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Wabash National will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0644% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Wabash National trading at USD 11.03, that is roughly USD 0.007101 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Wabash National's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Wabash National options at the current volatility level of 1.03%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Wabash Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Wabash National's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Wabash National's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Wabash National stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Wabash National's open interest, investors have to compare it to Wabash National's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Wabash National is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Wabash. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Wabash National Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Wabash price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Wabash using various technical indicators. When you analyze Wabash charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Wabash National Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Wabash National on the next trading day is expected to be 10.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.78.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Wabash Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Wabash National's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Wabash National Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Wabash National | Wabash National Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Wabash National Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Wabash National's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Wabash National's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.96 and 14.03, respectively. We have considered Wabash National's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Wabash National stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Wabash National stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.25 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0828 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2504 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0264 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 14.775 |
Predictive Modules for Wabash National
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wabash National. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Wabash National After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Wabash National at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Wabash National or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Wabash National, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Wabash National Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Wabash National's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Wabash National's historical news coverage. Wabash National's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.28 and 14.40, respectively. We have considered Wabash National's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Wabash National is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Wabash National is based on 3 months time horizon.
Wabash National Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Wabash National is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Wabash National backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Wabash National, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.62 | 3.03 | 0.38 | 0.01 | 11 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
11.03 | 11.34 | 3.47 |
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Wabash National Hype Timeline
On the 6th of February Wabash National is traded for 11.03. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.38, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Wabash is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 11.34 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 3.47%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.62%. The volatility of related hype on Wabash National is about 13173.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.02. Wabash National has 433.56 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.23, which is OK given its current industry classification. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Wabash National to cross-verify your projections.Wabash National Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Wabash National's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Wabash National's future price movements. Getting to know how Wabash National's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Wabash National may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MTW | Manitowoc | 0.19 | 7 per month | 1.72 | 0.20 | 5.31 | (2.88) | 14.96 | |
| NPWR | NET Power | 0.14 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 5.90 | (8.26) | 18.48 | |
| BW | Babcock Wilcox Enterprises | (0.15) | 9 per month | 5.53 | 0.19 | 13.18 | (8.36) | 45.75 | |
| TITN | Titan Machinery | 0.01 | 10 per month | 2.47 | 0.04 | 4.51 | (4.59) | 27.01 | |
| LXFR | Luxfer Holdings PLC | (0.05) | 8 per month | 1.21 | 0.19 | 2.92 | (2.58) | 6.05 | |
| NVX | Novonix Ltd ADR | (0.03) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 7.92 | (10.26) | 33.61 | |
| MAGN | Magnera Corp placeholder | 0.14 | 6 per month | 2.53 | 0.16 | 8.35 | (5.75) | 34.45 | |
| MTRX | Matrix Service Co | (0.42) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 3.71 | (5.41) | 21.01 | |
| FLYX | flyExclusive | (0.07) | 8 per month | 8.38 | 0.01 | 11.96 | (11.97) | 161.87 | |
| BNC | CEA Industries | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 9.58 | (10.14) | 35.96 |
Other Forecasting Options for Wabash National
For every potential investor in Wabash, whether a beginner or expert, Wabash National's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Wabash Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Wabash. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Wabash National's price trends.Wabash National Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Wabash National stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Wabash National could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Wabash National by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Wabash National Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Wabash National stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Wabash National shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Wabash National stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Wabash National entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 73092.07 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.0897 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 10.91 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 10.95 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.15 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.07 |
Wabash National Risk Indicators
The analysis of Wabash National's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Wabash National's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wabash stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.27 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.95 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.97 | |||
| Variance | 8.84 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.91 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.82 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.93) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Wabash National
The number of cover stories for Wabash National depends on current market conditions and Wabash National's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Wabash National is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Wabash National's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Wabash National Short Properties
Wabash National's future price predictability will typically decrease when Wabash National's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Wabash National often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Wabash National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wabash National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 41.7 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 13.8 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.32 | |
| Shares Float | 37.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Wabash National to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Wabash Stock refer to our How to Trade Wabash Stock guide.You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Will Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment sector continue expanding? Could Wabash diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Wabash National. Anticipated expansion of Wabash directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Wabash National data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 12.744 | Earnings Share 12.3 K | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.18) | Return On Assets |
Understanding Wabash National requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Wabash's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Wabash National's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Wabash National's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Wabash National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Wabash National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Wabash National's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.