Wolfspeed Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| WOLF Stock | USD 15.80 0.91 6.11% |
Wolfspeed Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Wolfspeed's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 10th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Wolfspeed's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Wolfspeed hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Wolfspeed from the perspective of Wolfspeed response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Wolfspeed on the next trading day is expected to be 15.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.74 and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.48. Wolfspeed after-hype prediction price | USD 15.93 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Wolfspeed Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Wolfspeed price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Wolfspeed using various technical indicators. When you analyze Wolfspeed charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Wolfspeed Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 11th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Wolfspeed on the next trading day is expected to be 15.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.74, mean absolute percentage error of 0.85, and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.48.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Wolfspeed Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Wolfspeed's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Wolfspeed Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Wolfspeed | Wolfspeed Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Wolfspeed Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Wolfspeed's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Wolfspeed's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.87 and 19.91, respectively. We have considered Wolfspeed's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Wolfspeed stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Wolfspeed stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0851 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7369 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0398 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 43.4751 |
Predictive Modules for Wolfspeed
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wolfspeed. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Wolfspeed After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Wolfspeed at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Wolfspeed or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Wolfspeed, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Wolfspeed Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Wolfspeed's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Wolfspeed's historical news coverage. Wolfspeed's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.39 and 20.47, respectively. We have considered Wolfspeed's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Wolfspeed is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Wolfspeed is based on 3 months time horizon.
Wolfspeed Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Wolfspeed is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Wolfspeed backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Wolfspeed, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 4.52 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
15.80 | 15.93 | 0.50 |
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Wolfspeed Hype Timeline
Wolfspeed is at this time traded for 15.80. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.08. Wolfspeed is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 15.93 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.5%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Wolfspeed is about 1444.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.72. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 757.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.61 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (81.6 M). Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be any time. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Wolfspeed to cross-verify your projections.Wolfspeed Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Wolfspeed's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Wolfspeed's future price movements. Getting to know how Wolfspeed's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Wolfspeed may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| POET | POET Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.62 | 0.06 | 13.11 | (8.39) | 45.50 | |
| CEVA | CEVA Inc | 0.26 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.64 | (6.60) | 19.14 | |
| AIP | Arteris | (0.73) | 9 per month | 4.35 | 0.07 | 7.11 | (4.72) | 43.24 | |
| CAN | Canaan Inc | 0.03 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 11.59 | (8.82) | 34.97 | |
| AMBQ | Ambiq Micro | (2.69) | 8 per month | 3.77 | 0 | 6.03 | (6.56) | 18.62 | |
| BMBL | Bumble Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.21 | (5.00) | 15.11 | |
| ARQQ | Arqit Quantum | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 7.88 | (9.81) | 25.62 | |
| BZAI | Blaize Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 7.38 | (10.29) | 29.46 | |
| PSFE | Paysafe | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 5.73 | (5.02) | 27.56 | |
| AOSL | Alpha and Omega | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.24 | 0.03 | 5.18 | (4.92) | 12.12 |
Other Forecasting Options for Wolfspeed
For every potential investor in Wolfspeed, whether a beginner or expert, Wolfspeed's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Wolfspeed Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Wolfspeed. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Wolfspeed's price trends.Wolfspeed Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Wolfspeed stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Wolfspeed could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Wolfspeed by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Wolfspeed Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Wolfspeed stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Wolfspeed shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Wolfspeed stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Wolfspeed entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 266941.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.5948 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.06 | |||
| Day Median Price | 15.54 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 15.62 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.72 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.91 |
Wolfspeed Risk Indicators
The analysis of Wolfspeed's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Wolfspeed's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wolfspeed stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.53 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.52 | |||
| Variance | 20.45 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Wolfspeed
The number of cover stories for Wolfspeed depends on current market conditions and Wolfspeed's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Wolfspeed is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Wolfspeed's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Wolfspeed Short Properties
Wolfspeed's future price predictability will typically decrease when Wolfspeed's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Wolfspeed often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Wolfspeed's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wolfspeed's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 141.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Wolfspeed to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Wolfspeed Stock please use our How to Invest in Wolfspeed guide.You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Can Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment industry sustain growth momentum? Does Wolfspeed have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Wolfspeed. Anticipated expansion of Wolfspeed directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Wolfspeed demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
The market value of Wolfspeed is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Wolfspeed that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Wolfspeed's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Wolfspeed's true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because Wolfspeed's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Wolfspeed's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Wolfspeed's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Wolfspeed is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Wolfspeed's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.