Scworx Corp Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

WORX Stock  USD 3.00  0.90  42.86%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Scworx Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 3.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.84. Scworx Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Scworx Corp's Inventory Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Payables Turnover is likely to rise to 2.40 in 2024, whereas Asset Turnover is likely to drop 0.31 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to rise to about 1.3 M in 2024, whereas Net Loss is likely to drop (1.7 M) in 2024.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Scworx Corp's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2016-06-30
Previous Quarter
91.4 K
Current Value
87.7 K
Quarterly Volatility
1.4 M
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Scworx Corp is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Scworx Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Scworx Corp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Scworx Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 3.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.84.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Scworx Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Scworx Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Scworx Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

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Scworx Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Scworx Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Scworx Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 20.20, respectively. We have considered Scworx Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.00
3.49
Expected Value
20.20
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Scworx Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Scworx Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.2832
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1103
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0926
SAESum of the absolute errors6.836
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Scworx Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Scworx Corp. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Scworx Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Scworx Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.153.0219.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.102.0118.72
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Scworx Corp

For every potential investor in Scworx, whether a beginner or expert, Scworx Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Scworx Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Scworx. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Scworx Corp's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Scworx Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Scworx Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Scworx Corp's current price.

Scworx Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Scworx Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Scworx Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Scworx Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Scworx Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Scworx Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Scworx Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Scworx Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting scworx stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Tools for Scworx Stock Analysis

When running Scworx Corp's price analysis, check to measure Scworx Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Scworx Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Scworx Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Scworx Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Scworx Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Scworx Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.