West Pharmaceutical Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| WST Stock | USD 236.97 6.02 2.61% |
West Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of West Pharmaceutical's share price is approaching 38. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling West Pharmaceutical, making its price go up or down. Momentum 38
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.038 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.7807 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.0973 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.7543 | Wall Street Target Price 345.7143 |
Using West Pharmaceutical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of West Pharmaceutical Services from the perspective of West Pharmaceutical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards West Pharmaceutical using West Pharmaceutical's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards West using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of West Pharmaceutical's stock price.
West Pharmaceutical Short Interest
An investor who is long West Pharmaceutical may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about West Pharmaceutical and may potentially protect profits, hedge West Pharmaceutical with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 247.1174 | Short Percent 0.035 | Short Ratio 2.8 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.1 M | 50 Day MA 267.3486 |
West Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of West Pharmaceutical Services on the next trading day is expected to be 233.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 254.50.West Pharmaceutical Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to West Pharmaceutical's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in West. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding West can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around West Pharmaceutical Services. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of West Pharmaceutical's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about West Pharmaceutical.
West Pharmaceutical Implied Volatility | 0.63 |
West Pharmaceutical's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of West Pharmaceutical Services stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if West Pharmaceutical's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that West Pharmaceutical stock will not fluctuate a lot when West Pharmaceutical's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of West Pharmaceutical Services on the next trading day is expected to be 233.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 254.50. West Pharmaceutical after-hype prediction price | USD 237.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of West Pharmaceutical to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current West contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that West Pharmaceutical Services will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0394% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With West Pharmaceutical trading at USD 236.97, that is roughly USD 0.0933 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating West Pharmaceutical's daily price movement you should consider acquiring West Pharmaceutical Services options at the current volatility level of 0.63%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 West Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast West Pharmaceutical's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in West Pharmaceutical's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for West Pharmaceutical stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current West Pharmaceutical's open interest, investors have to compare it to West Pharmaceutical's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of West Pharmaceutical is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in West. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
West Pharmaceutical Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine West price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for West using various technical indicators. When you analyze West charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
West Pharmaceutical Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of West Pharmaceutical Services on the next trading day is expected to be 233.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.31, mean absolute percentage error of 36.38, and the sum of the absolute errors of 254.50.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict West Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that West Pharmaceutical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
West Pharmaceutical Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest West Pharmaceutical | West Pharmaceutical Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
West Pharmaceutical Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting West Pharmaceutical's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. West Pharmaceutical's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 231.94 and 235.98, respectively. We have considered West Pharmaceutical's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of West Pharmaceutical stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent West Pharmaceutical stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.0288 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.9419 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 4.3136 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0164 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 254.5 |
Predictive Modules for West Pharmaceutical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as West Pharmaceutical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of West Pharmaceutical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
West Pharmaceutical After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of West Pharmaceutical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in West Pharmaceutical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of West Pharmaceutical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
West Pharmaceutical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting West Pharmaceutical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on West Pharmaceutical's historical news coverage. West Pharmaceutical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 235.59 and 239.63, respectively. We have considered West Pharmaceutical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
West Pharmaceutical is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of West Pharmaceutical is based on 3 months time horizon.
West Pharmaceutical Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as West Pharmaceutical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading West Pharmaceutical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with West Pharmaceutical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 2.02 | 0.64 | 0.22 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
236.97 | 237.61 | 0.27 |
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West Pharmaceutical Hype Timeline
On the 4th of February West Pharmaceutical is traded for 236.97. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.64, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.22. West is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 237.61 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 69.18%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.27%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.22%. The volatility of related hype on West Pharmaceutical is about 202.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 237.19. The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.89 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 492.7 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.07 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of West Pharmaceutical to cross-verify your projections.West Pharmaceutical Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to West Pharmaceutical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict West Pharmaceutical's future price movements. Getting to know how West Pharmaceutical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how West Pharmaceutical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WAT | Waters | 1.39 | 10 per month | 0.91 | 0.07 | 3.35 | (1.83) | 8.85 | |
| DGX | Quest Diagnostics Incorporated | 6.27 | 10 per month | 1.10 | 0.01 | 2.68 | (1.96) | 6.29 | |
| HOLX | Hologic | (0.07) | 10 per month | 0.09 | (0.22) | 0.32 | (0.23) | 1.03 | |
| ZBH | Zimmer Biomet Holdings | (1.20) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.92 | (2.20) | 18.45 | |
| ILMN | Illumina | (3.75) | 10 per month | 1.61 | 0.15 | 4.19 | (2.87) | 28.04 | |
| LH | Laboratory of | 2.58 | 10 per month | 1.01 | 0.08 | 2.71 | (1.98) | 5.89 | |
| MEDP | Medpace Holdings | 3.71 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.02 | (2.33) | 10.01 | |
| INCY | Incyte | (0.64) | 11 per month | 1.75 | 0.06 | 4.10 | (2.92) | 14.33 | |
| COO | The Cooper Companies | 0.26 | 7 per month | 1.00 | 0.1 | 2.84 | (1.84) | 10.26 | |
| STE | STERIS plc | 1.41 | 7 per month | 1.07 | 0.07 | 1.91 | (1.83) | 10.91 |
Other Forecasting Options for West Pharmaceutical
For every potential investor in West, whether a beginner or expert, West Pharmaceutical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. West Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in West. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying West Pharmaceutical's price trends.West Pharmaceutical Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with West Pharmaceutical stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of West Pharmaceutical could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing West Pharmaceutical by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
West Pharmaceutical Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how West Pharmaceutical stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading West Pharmaceutical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying West Pharmaceutical stock market strength indicators, traders can identify West Pharmaceutical Services entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
West Pharmaceutical Risk Indicators
The analysis of West Pharmaceutical's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in West Pharmaceutical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting west stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.99 | |||
| Variance | 3.97 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for West Pharmaceutical
The number of cover stories for West Pharmaceutical depends on current market conditions and West Pharmaceutical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that West Pharmaceutical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about West Pharmaceutical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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West Pharmaceutical Short Properties
West Pharmaceutical's future price predictability will typically decrease when West Pharmaceutical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of West Pharmaceutical Services often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential West Pharmaceutical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. West Pharmaceutical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 73.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 484.6 M |
Additional Tools for West Stock Analysis
When running West Pharmaceutical's price analysis, check to measure West Pharmaceutical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy West Pharmaceutical is operating at the current time. Most of West Pharmaceutical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of West Pharmaceutical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move West Pharmaceutical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of West Pharmaceutical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.