Watts Water Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| WTS Stock | USD 295.19 2.42 0.81% |
Watts Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Watts Water's share price is at 56. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Watts Water, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.189 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.97 | EPS Estimate Current Year 10.3047 | EPS Estimate Next Year 11.2818 | Wall Street Target Price 301.5556 |
Using Watts Water hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Watts Water Technologies from the perspective of Watts Water response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Watts Water using Watts Water's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Watts using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Watts Water's stock price.
Watts Water Short Interest
An investor who is long Watts Water may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Watts Water and may potentially protect profits, hedge Watts Water with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 262.3167 | Short Percent 0.0392 | Short Ratio 3.96 | Shares Short Prior Month 831.3 K | 50 Day MA 281.2964 |
Watts Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Watts Water Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 296.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 198.84.Watts Water Technologies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Watts Water's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Watts. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Watts can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Watts Water Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Watts Water's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Watts Water.
Watts Water Implied Volatility | 0.44 |
Watts Water's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Watts Water Technologies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Watts Water's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Watts Water stock will not fluctuate a lot when Watts Water's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Watts Water Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 296.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 198.84. Watts Water after-hype prediction price | USD 297.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Watts Water to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Watts contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Watts Water Technologies will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0275% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Watts Water trading at USD 295.19, that is roughly USD 0.0812 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Watts Water's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Watts Water Technologies options at the current volatility level of 0.44%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Watts Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Watts Water's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Watts Water's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Watts Water stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Watts Water's open interest, investors have to compare it to Watts Water's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Watts Water is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Watts. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Watts Water Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Watts price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Watts using various technical indicators. When you analyze Watts charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Watts Water Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Watts Water Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 296.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.37, mean absolute percentage error of 18.84, and the sum of the absolute errors of 198.84.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Watts Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Watts Water's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Watts Water Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Watts Water | Watts Water Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Watts Water Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Watts Water's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Watts Water's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 294.79 and 298.01, respectively. We have considered Watts Water's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Watts Water stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Watts Water stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.3708 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.5793 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.3702 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.012 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 198.84 |
Predictive Modules for Watts Water
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Watts Water Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Watts Water's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Watts Water After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Watts Water at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Watts Water or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Watts Water, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Watts Water Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Watts Water's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Watts Water's historical news coverage. Watts Water's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 296.02 and 299.20, respectively. We have considered Watts Water's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Watts Water is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Watts Water Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Watts Water Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Watts Water is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Watts Water backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Watts Water, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 1.61 | 0.64 | 0.04 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
295.19 | 297.61 | 0.00 |
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Watts Water Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January Watts Water Technologies is traded for 295.19. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.64, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Watts is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 42.59%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on Watts Water is about 728.51%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 295.23. About 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.69. Watts Water Technologies last dividend was issued on the 1st of December 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 16th of March 1994. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Watts Water to cross-verify your projections.Watts Water Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Watts Water's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Watts Water's future price movements. Getting to know how Watts Water's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Watts Water may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AOS | Smith AO | 0.86 | 10 per month | 1.24 | (0.02) | 2.24 | (2.21) | 7.54 | |
| RRX | Regal Beloit | 2.58 | 8 per month | 2.12 | 0.05 | 4.12 | (3.75) | 11.58 | |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings | (1.75) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.15 | (5.41) | 10.93 | |
| FLS | Flowserve | (0.11) | 9 per month | 0.93 | 0.15 | 2.55 | (2.33) | 34.18 | |
| DCI | Donaldson | (0.42) | 10 per month | 0.75 | 0.19 | 2.27 | (1.74) | 9.29 | |
| PSN | Parsons Corp | (0.39) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.68 | (3.89) | 25.78 | |
| GTLS | Chart Industries | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 0.23 | (0.12) | 1.32 | |
| SPXC | SPX Corp | (0.11) | 6 per month | 1.84 | 0.04 | 3.62 | (3.22) | 17.00 | |
| CR | Crane Company | 0.93 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.28 | (2.32) | 15.15 | |
| AIT | Applied Industrial Technologies | 0.63 | 9 per month | 1.72 | (0.03) | 2.64 | (2.10) | 9.70 |
Other Forecasting Options for Watts Water
For every potential investor in Watts, whether a beginner or expert, Watts Water's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Watts Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Watts. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Watts Water's price trends.Watts Water Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Watts Water stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Watts Water could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Watts Water by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Watts Water Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Watts Water stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Watts Water shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Watts Water stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Watts Water Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 295.19 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 295.19 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.21) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.42) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 56.43 |
Watts Water Risk Indicators
The analysis of Watts Water's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Watts Water's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting watts stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.08 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.54 | |||
| Variance | 2.38 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.14 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.9 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.30) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Watts Water
The number of cover stories for Watts Water depends on current market conditions and Watts Water's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Watts Water is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Watts Water's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Watts Water Short Properties
Watts Water's future price predictability will typically decrease when Watts Water's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Watts Water Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Watts Water's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Watts Water's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 386.9 M |
Additional Tools for Watts Stock Analysis
When running Watts Water's price analysis, check to measure Watts Water's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Watts Water is operating at the current time. Most of Watts Water's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Watts Water's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Watts Water's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Watts Water to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.