Kinetics Paradigm Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Regression

WWNPX Fund  USD 121.97  1.18  0.98%   
Kinetics Mutual Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Kinetics Paradigm's share price is at 59. This entails that the mutual fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Kinetics Paradigm, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 59

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Kinetics Paradigm's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kinetics Paradigm Fund, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Kinetics Paradigm hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kinetics Paradigm Fund from the perspective of Kinetics Paradigm response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Kinetics Paradigm Fund on the next trading day is expected to be 112.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.93 and the sum of the absolute errors of 300.83.

Kinetics Paradigm after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 121.97  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kinetics Paradigm to cross-verify your projections.

Kinetics Paradigm Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Kinetics price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kinetics using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kinetics charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Kinetics Paradigm price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Kinetics Paradigm Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Kinetics Paradigm Fund on the next trading day is expected to be 112.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.93, mean absolute percentage error of 31.98, and the sum of the absolute errors of 300.83.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kinetics Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kinetics Paradigm's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kinetics Paradigm Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Kinetics Paradigm  Kinetics Paradigm Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Kinetics Paradigm Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Kinetics Paradigm's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kinetics Paradigm's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 110.82 and 115.11, respectively. We have considered Kinetics Paradigm's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
121.97
110.82
Downside
112.96
Expected Value
115.11
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kinetics Paradigm mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kinetics Paradigm mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.5755
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation4.9316
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0435
SAESum of the absolute errors300.8291
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Kinetics Paradigm Fund historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Kinetics Paradigm

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kinetics Paradigm. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
119.83121.97124.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
117.51119.65134.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
101.61113.69125.78
Details

Kinetics Paradigm After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Kinetics Paradigm at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kinetics Paradigm or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Kinetics Paradigm, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Kinetics Paradigm Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Kinetics Paradigm's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kinetics Paradigm's historical news coverage. Kinetics Paradigm's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 119.83 and 124.11, respectively. We have considered Kinetics Paradigm's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
121.97
119.83
Downside
121.97
After-hype Price
124.11
Upside
Kinetics Paradigm is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kinetics Paradigm is based on 3 months time horizon.

Kinetics Paradigm Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Kinetics Paradigm is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kinetics Paradigm backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kinetics Paradigm, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12 
2.14
  0.24 
 0.00  
1 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
121.97
121.97
0.00 
108.63  
Notes

Kinetics Paradigm Hype Timeline

Kinetics Paradigm is at this time traded for 121.97. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.24, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Kinetics is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 108.63%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kinetics Paradigm is about 107000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 121.97. The company last dividend was issued on the 30th of December 1970. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be very soon.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kinetics Paradigm to cross-verify your projections.

Kinetics Paradigm Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Kinetics Paradigm's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kinetics Paradigm's future price movements. Getting to know how Kinetics Paradigm's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kinetics Paradigm may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TIQIXTouchstone Sustainability And 0.13 1 per month 0.56  0.13  1.37 (1.26) 5.24 
MPIEXMondrian International Value 0.00 0 per month 0.27  0.15  1.22 (0.98) 4.68 
AVEGXAve Maria Growth 0.00 0 per month 0.72  0.01  1.44 (1.36) 3.95 
HMEZXHighland Merger Arbitrage 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.72) 0.15 (0.10) 0.30 
LYRBXLyrical Value Equity 0.00 0 per month 1.00  0.04  1.60 (1.85) 8.48 
VIISXVirtus International Small Cap 0.00 0 per month 0.44 (0.02) 0.91 (0.91) 2.53 
GSSQXGoldman Sachs Equity 0.00 0 per month 0.50  0.09  1.04 (1.34) 16.39 
PRISXT Rowe Price(0.15)1 per month 0.81  0.09  1.66 (1.67) 8.41 
FHAVXFidelity Freedom Blend 0.00 0 per month 0.27 (0.09) 0.61 (0.53) 1.53 
HSPCXEmerald Growth Fund 0.00 0 per month 1.61  0.06  2.64 (2.49) 7.67 

Other Forecasting Options for Kinetics Paradigm

For every potential investor in Kinetics, whether a beginner or expert, Kinetics Paradigm's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kinetics Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kinetics. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kinetics Paradigm's price trends.

Kinetics Paradigm Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kinetics Paradigm mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kinetics Paradigm could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kinetics Paradigm by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kinetics Paradigm Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kinetics Paradigm mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kinetics Paradigm shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kinetics Paradigm mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Kinetics Paradigm Fund entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Kinetics Paradigm Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kinetics Paradigm's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kinetics Paradigm's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kinetics mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Kinetics Paradigm

The number of cover stories for Kinetics Paradigm depends on current market conditions and Kinetics Paradigm's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kinetics Paradigm is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kinetics Paradigm's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Other Information on Investing in Kinetics Mutual Fund

Kinetics Paradigm financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kinetics Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kinetics with respect to the benefits of owning Kinetics Paradigm security.
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