Wolverine World Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| WWW Stock | USD 18.02 1.26 6.54% |
Wolverine Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Wolverine World's share price is approaching 41. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Wolverine World, making its price go up or down. Momentum 41
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.068 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.4662 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.3296 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.3541 | Wall Street Target Price 21.3333 |
Using Wolverine World hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Wolverine World Wide from the perspective of Wolverine World response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Wolverine World using Wolverine World's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Wolverine using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Wolverine World's stock price.
Wolverine World Short Interest
An investor who is long Wolverine World may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Wolverine World and may potentially protect profits, hedge Wolverine World with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 20.6969 | Short Percent 0.1062 | Short Ratio 3.16 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.8 M | 50 Day MA 17.5344 |
Wolverine Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Wolverine World Wide on the next trading day is expected to be 18.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.78.Wolverine World Wide Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Wolverine World's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Wolverine. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Wolverine can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Wolverine World Wide. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Wolverine World's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Wolverine World.
Wolverine World Implied Volatility | 0.94 |
Wolverine World's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Wolverine World Wide stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Wolverine World's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Wolverine World stock will not fluctuate a lot when Wolverine World's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Wolverine World Wide on the next trading day is expected to be 18.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.78. Wolverine World after-hype prediction price | USD 18.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Wolverine contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Wolverine World Wide will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0588% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Wolverine World trading at USD 18.02, that is roughly USD 0.0106 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Wolverine World's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Wolverine World Wide options at the current volatility level of 0.94%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Wolverine Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Wolverine World's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Wolverine World's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Wolverine World stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Wolverine World's open interest, investors have to compare it to Wolverine World's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Wolverine World is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Wolverine. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Wolverine World Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Wolverine price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Wolverine using various technical indicators. When you analyze Wolverine charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Wolverine World Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Wolverine World Wide on the next trading day is expected to be 18.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48, mean absolute percentage error of 0.75, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.78.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Wolverine Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Wolverine World's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Wolverine World Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Wolverine World | Wolverine World Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Wolverine World Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Wolverine World's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Wolverine World's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.77 and 22.27, respectively. We have considered Wolverine World's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Wolverine World stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Wolverine World stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.9835 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1113 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4797 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0275 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 28.78 |
Predictive Modules for Wolverine World
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wolverine World Wide. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wolverine World's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Wolverine World After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Wolverine World at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Wolverine World or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Wolverine World, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Wolverine World Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Wolverine World's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Wolverine World's historical news coverage. Wolverine World's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.74 and 22.30, respectively. We have considered Wolverine World's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Wolverine World is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Wolverine World Wide is based on 3 months time horizon.
Wolverine World Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Wolverine World is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Wolverine World backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Wolverine World, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 4.25 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 6 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
18.02 | 18.02 | 0.00 |
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Wolverine World Hype Timeline
On the 27th of January Wolverine World Wide is traded for 18.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Wolverine is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.32%. %. The volatility of related hype on Wolverine World is about 2173.3%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.08. About 98.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Wolverine World was at this time reported as 4.6. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.72. Wolverine World Wide last dividend was issued on the 2nd of January 2026. The entity had 2:1 split on the 4th of November 2013. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Wolverine World to cross-verify your projections.Wolverine World Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Wolverine World's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Wolverine World's future price movements. Getting to know how Wolverine World's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Wolverine World may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| UAA | Under Armour A | (0.39) | 27 per month | 2.07 | 0.15 | 4.98 | (3.86) | 13.53 | |
| MCW | Mister Car Wash | 0.03 | 10 per month | 1.96 | 0.01 | 4.13 | (3.00) | 13.47 | |
| WINA | Winmark | 0.71 | 13 per month | 2.03 | 0.03 | 3.40 | (3.09) | 9.64 | |
| KSS | Kohls | 0.08 | 11 per month | 3.23 | 0.03 | 5.38 | (5.71) | 49.53 | |
| TRIP | TripAdvisor | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.99 | (5.08) | 15.83 | |
| OI | O I Glass | 0.40 | 13 per month | 1.78 | 0.12 | 4.16 | (3.38) | 18.50 | |
| MCRI | Monarch Casino Resort | 0.68 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.59 | (2.00) | 5.01 | |
| AIN | Albany International | 0.47 | 10 per month | 2.75 | (0.02) | 3.96 | (3.73) | 16.02 | |
| SHOO | Steven Madden | (0.22) | 9 per month | 1.20 | 0.14 | 3.54 | (2.32) | 16.50 |
Other Forecasting Options for Wolverine World
For every potential investor in Wolverine, whether a beginner or expert, Wolverine World's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Wolverine Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Wolverine. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Wolverine World's price trends.Wolverine World Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Wolverine World stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Wolverine World could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Wolverine World by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Wolverine World Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Wolverine World stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Wolverine World shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Wolverine World stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Wolverine World Wide entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Wolverine World Risk Indicators
The analysis of Wolverine World's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Wolverine World's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wolverine stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.67 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.23 | |||
| Variance | 17.89 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Wolverine World
The number of cover stories for Wolverine World depends on current market conditions and Wolverine World's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Wolverine World is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Wolverine World's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Wolverine World Short Properties
Wolverine World's future price predictability will typically decrease when Wolverine World's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Wolverine World Wide often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Wolverine World's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wolverine World's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 80.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 152.1 M |
Additional Tools for Wolverine Stock Analysis
When running Wolverine World's price analysis, check to measure Wolverine World's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wolverine World is operating at the current time. Most of Wolverine World's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wolverine World's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wolverine World's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wolverine World to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.