FundX ETF Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction

XCOR Etf  USD 74.21  1.16  1.59%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of FundX ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 74.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.56 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.15. FundX Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for FundX ETF is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of FundX ETF value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

FundX ETF Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of FundX ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 74.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.56, mean absolute percentage error of 0.53, and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.15.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FundX Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FundX ETF's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

FundX ETF Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest FundX ETFFundX ETF Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

FundX ETF Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting FundX ETF's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. FundX ETF's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 73.71 and 75.40, respectively. We have considered FundX ETF's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
74.21
74.56
Expected Value
75.40
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FundX ETF etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FundX ETF etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.4767
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.5599
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0081
SAESum of the absolute errors34.1549
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of FundX ETF. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict FundX ETF. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for FundX ETF

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FundX ETF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
73.3874.2175.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
66.7979.6880.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
70.1672.3774.58
Details

Other Forecasting Options for FundX ETF

For every potential investor in FundX, whether a beginner or expert, FundX ETF's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FundX Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FundX. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying FundX ETF's price trends.

FundX ETF Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FundX ETF etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FundX ETF could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FundX ETF by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

FundX ETF Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of FundX ETF's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of FundX ETF's current price.

FundX ETF Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FundX ETF etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FundX ETF shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FundX ETF etf market strength indicators, traders can identify FundX ETF entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

FundX ETF Risk Indicators

The analysis of FundX ETF's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FundX ETF's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fundx etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with FundX ETF

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if FundX ETF position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in FundX ETF will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with FundX Etf

  1.0VUG Vanguard Growth IndexPairCorr
  1.0IWF iShares Russell 1000PairCorr
  1.0IVW iShares SP 500PairCorr
  1.0SPYG SPDR Portfolio SPPairCorr
  1.0IUSG iShares Core SPPairCorr

Moving against FundX Etf

  0.55WTID UBS ETRACSPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to FundX ETF could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace FundX ETF when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back FundX ETF - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling FundX ETF to buy it.
The correlation of FundX ETF is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as FundX ETF moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if FundX ETF moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for FundX ETF can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether FundX ETF is a strong investment it is important to analyze FundX ETF's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact FundX ETF's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding FundX Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FundX ETF to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in FundX Etf, please use our How to Invest in FundX ETF guide.
You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
The market value of FundX ETF is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FundX that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FundX ETF's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FundX ETF's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FundX ETF's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FundX ETF's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FundX ETF's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FundX ETF is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FundX ETF's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.