XAI Octagon Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| XFLT Stock | USD 4.07 0.02 0.49% |
XAI Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of XAI Octagon's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 8 |
Using XAI Octagon hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of XAI Octagon Floating from the perspective of XAI Octagon response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
XAI Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of XAI Octagon Floating on the next trading day is expected to be 4.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.26.XAI Octagon Floating Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to XAI Octagon's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in XAI. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding XAI can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around XAI Octagon Floating. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of XAI Octagon's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about XAI Octagon.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of XAI Octagon Floating on the next trading day is expected to be 4.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.26. XAI Octagon after-hype prediction price | USD 4.07 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of XAI Octagon to cross-verify your projections. XAI Octagon Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine XAI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for XAI using various technical indicators. When you analyze XAI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
XAI Octagon Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 17th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of XAI Octagon Floating on the next trading day is expected to be 4.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.26.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict XAI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that XAI Octagon's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
XAI Octagon Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest XAI Octagon | XAI Octagon Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
XAI Octagon Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting XAI Octagon's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. XAI Octagon's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.03 and 5.11, respectively. We have considered XAI Octagon's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of XAI Octagon stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent XAI Octagon stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.1518 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.006 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0377 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0085 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.26 |
Predictive Modules for XAI Octagon
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as XAI Octagon Floating. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.XAI Octagon After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of XAI Octagon at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in XAI Octagon or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of XAI Octagon, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
XAI Octagon Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting XAI Octagon's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on XAI Octagon's historical news coverage. XAI Octagon's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.03 and 5.11, respectively. We have considered XAI Octagon's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
XAI Octagon is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of XAI Octagon Floating is based on 3 months time horizon.
XAI Octagon Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as XAI Octagon is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading XAI Octagon backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with XAI Octagon, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 1.04 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 3 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.07 | 4.07 | 0.00 |
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XAI Octagon Hype Timeline
XAI Octagon Floating is at this time traded for 4.07. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.15. XAI is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on XAI Octagon is about 87.84%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.22. About 26.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.7. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. XAI Octagon Floating last dividend was issued on the 17th of February 2026. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of XAI Octagon to cross-verify your projections.XAI Octagon Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to XAI Octagon's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict XAI Octagon's future price movements. Getting to know how XAI Octagon's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how XAI Octagon may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HIX | Western Asset High | 11.79 | 5 per month | 0.50 | (0.03) | 1.00 | (0.99) | 2.49 | |
| VKI | Invesco Advantage MIT | (0.02) | 2 per month | 0.39 | 0.04 | 1.01 | (0.91) | 2.55 | |
| HIO | Western Asset High | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.36 | (0.02) | 0.82 | (0.79) | 2.18 | |
| AONIX | One Choice Portfolio | (0.03) | 1 per month | 0.06 | (0.19) | 0.42 | (0.26) | 1.10 | |
| MINVX | Madison Investors Fund | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.64 | 0.02 | 1.62 | (1.25) | 3.99 | |
| MNVAX | Madison Investors Fund | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.66 | 0.02 | 1.62 | (1.26) | 4.04 | |
| WESJX | William Blair Emerging | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.76 | 0.11 | 1.66 | (1.71) | 6.27 | |
| BESIX | William Blair Emerging | 0.09 | 1 per month | 0.79 | 0.11 | 1.67 | (1.72) | 6.25 | |
| WESNX | William Blair Emerging | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.63 | 0.16 | 1.70 | (1.71) | 12.14 | |
| NCZ | Allianzgi Convertible Income | 0.01 | 3 per month | 0.72 | 0.06 | 1.38 | (1.35) | 4.02 |
Other Forecasting Options for XAI Octagon
For every potential investor in XAI, whether a beginner or expert, XAI Octagon's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. XAI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in XAI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying XAI Octagon's price trends.XAI Octagon Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with XAI Octagon stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of XAI Octagon could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing XAI Octagon by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
XAI Octagon Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how XAI Octagon stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading XAI Octagon shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying XAI Octagon stock market strength indicators, traders can identify XAI Octagon Floating entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
XAI Octagon Risk Indicators
The analysis of XAI Octagon's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in XAI Octagon's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting xai stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8313 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.05 | |||
| Variance | 1.1 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for XAI Octagon
The number of cover stories for XAI Octagon depends on current market conditions and XAI Octagon's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that XAI Octagon is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about XAI Octagon's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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XAI Octagon Short Properties
XAI Octagon's future price predictability will typically decrease when XAI Octagon's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of XAI Octagon Floating often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential XAI Octagon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. XAI Octagon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 76.2 M | |
| Dividends Paid | -65.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.9 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.84 |
Additional Tools for XAI Stock Analysis
When running XAI Octagon's price analysis, check to measure XAI Octagon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy XAI Octagon is operating at the current time. Most of XAI Octagon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of XAI Octagon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move XAI Octagon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of XAI Octagon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.