Xenia Hotels Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| XHR Stock | USD 14.91 0.16 1.08% |
Xenia Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Xenia Hotels' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Xenia Hotels' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Xenia Hotels fundamentals over time.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of Xenia Hotels' share price is at 57. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Xenia Hotels, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.748 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.045 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.605 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.265 | Wall Street Target Price 16.4 |
Using Xenia Hotels hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Xenia Hotels Resorts from the perspective of Xenia Hotels response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Xenia Hotels using Xenia Hotels' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Xenia using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Xenia Hotels' stock price.
Xenia Hotels Implied Volatility | 1.37 |
Xenia Hotels' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Xenia Hotels Resorts stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Xenia Hotels' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Xenia Hotels stock will not fluctuate a lot when Xenia Hotels' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Xenia Hotels Resorts on the next trading day is expected to be 14.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.53. Xenia Hotels after-hype prediction price | USD 14.97 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Xenia Hotels to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Xenia contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Xenia Hotels Resorts will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0856% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Xenia Hotels trading at USD 14.91, that is roughly USD 0.0128 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Xenia Hotels' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Xenia Hotels Resorts options at the current volatility level of 1.37%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Xenia Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Xenia Hotels' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Xenia Hotels' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Xenia Hotels stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Xenia Hotels' open interest, investors have to compare it to Xenia Hotels' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Xenia Hotels is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Xenia. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Xenia Hotels Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Xenia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Xenia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Xenia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Xenia Hotels Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Xenia Hotels Resorts on the next trading day is expected to be 14.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.53.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Xenia Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Xenia Hotels' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Xenia Hotels Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Xenia Hotels | Xenia Hotels Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Xenia Hotels Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Xenia Hotels' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Xenia Hotels' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.21 and 16.45, respectively. We have considered Xenia Hotels' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Xenia Hotels stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Xenia Hotels stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.7573 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0573 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2124 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0149 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.53 |
Predictive Modules for Xenia Hotels
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xenia Hotels Resorts. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Xenia Hotels After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Xenia Hotels at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Xenia Hotels or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Xenia Hotels, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Xenia Hotels Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Xenia Hotels' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Xenia Hotels' historical news coverage. Xenia Hotels' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.35 and 16.59, respectively. We have considered Xenia Hotels' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Xenia Hotels is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Xenia Hotels Resorts is based on 3 months time horizon.
Xenia Hotels Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Xenia Hotels is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Xenia Hotels backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Xenia Hotels, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 1.62 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 6 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
14.91 | 14.97 | 0.40 |
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Xenia Hotels Hype Timeline
On the 2nd of February Xenia Hotels Resorts is traded for 14.91. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.12. Xenia is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 14.97 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.4%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Xenia Hotels is about 413.87%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.79. The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.04 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 16.87 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 270.93 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Xenia Hotels to cross-verify your projections.Xenia Hotels Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Xenia Hotels' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Xenia Hotels' future price movements. Getting to know how Xenia Hotels' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Xenia Hotels may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PEB | Pebblebrook Hotel Trust | (0.13) | 10 per month | 1.43 | 0.02 | 4.19 | (2.47) | 11.55 | |
| RLJ | RLJ Lodging Trust | 0.03 | 10 per month | 1.18 | 0.06 | 3.16 | (2.22) | 8.37 | |
| AAT | American Assets Trust | (0.17) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.95 | (2.53) | 7.09 | |
| ALX | Alexanders | (0.23) | 11 per month | 1.31 | 0.06 | 2.45 | (2.10) | 5.30 | |
| ALEX | Alexander Baldwin Holdings | 0.07 | 8 per month | 0.55 | 0.08 | 1.55 | (1.81) | 38.16 | |
| ESRT | Empire State Realty | (0.21) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.22 | (3.19) | 8.01 | |
| DRH | Diamondrock Hospitality | (2.10) | 9 per month | 1.22 | 0.13 | 3.33 | (2.49) | 11.87 |
Other Forecasting Options for Xenia Hotels
For every potential investor in Xenia, whether a beginner or expert, Xenia Hotels' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Xenia Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Xenia. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Xenia Hotels' price trends.Xenia Hotels Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Xenia Hotels stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Xenia Hotels could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Xenia Hotels by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Xenia Hotels Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Xenia Hotels stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Xenia Hotels shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Xenia Hotels stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Xenia Hotels Resorts entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Xenia Hotels Risk Indicators
The analysis of Xenia Hotels' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Xenia Hotels' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting xenia stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.66 | |||
| Variance | 2.75 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.94 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.41 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.63) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Xenia Hotels
The number of cover stories for Xenia Hotels depends on current market conditions and Xenia Hotels' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Xenia Hotels is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Xenia Hotels' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Xenia Hotels Short Properties
Xenia Hotels' future price predictability will typically decrease when Xenia Hotels' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Xenia Hotels Resorts often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Xenia Hotels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xenia Hotels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 102.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 78.2 M |
Additional Tools for Xenia Stock Analysis
When running Xenia Hotels' price analysis, check to measure Xenia Hotels' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xenia Hotels is operating at the current time. Most of Xenia Hotels' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xenia Hotels' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xenia Hotels' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xenia Hotels to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.