Exotic Food Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

XO Stock  THB 20.20  0.10  0.50%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Exotic Food Public on the next trading day is expected to be 19.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.69. Exotic Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Exotic Food works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Exotic Food Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Exotic Food Public on the next trading day is expected to be 19.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27, mean absolute percentage error of 0.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.69.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Exotic Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Exotic Food's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Exotic Food Stock Forecast Pattern

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Exotic Food Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Exotic Food's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Exotic Food's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.20 and 21.73, respectively. We have considered Exotic Food's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
20.20
19.96
Expected Value
21.73
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Exotic Food stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Exotic Food stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0265
MADMean absolute deviation0.2659
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0118
SAESum of the absolute errors15.691
When Exotic Food Public prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Exotic Food Public trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Exotic Food observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Exotic Food

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Exotic Food Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.3420.1021.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.0517.8122.11
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Exotic Food. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Exotic Food's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Exotic Food's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Exotic Food Public.

Other Forecasting Options for Exotic Food

For every potential investor in Exotic, whether a beginner or expert, Exotic Food's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Exotic Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Exotic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Exotic Food's price trends.

Exotic Food Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Exotic Food stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Exotic Food could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Exotic Food by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Exotic Food Public Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Exotic Food's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Exotic Food's current price.

Exotic Food Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Exotic Food stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Exotic Food shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Exotic Food stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Exotic Food Public entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Exotic Food Risk Indicators

The analysis of Exotic Food's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Exotic Food's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting exotic stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Exotic Stock

Exotic Food financial ratios help investors to determine whether Exotic Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Exotic with respect to the benefits of owning Exotic Food security.