XOMA Corp Preferred Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

XOMAP Preferred Stock  USD 25.69  0.24  0.93%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of XOMA Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 25.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.66. XOMA Preferred Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
XOMA Corp polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for XOMA Corp as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

XOMA Corp Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of XOMA Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 25.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.66.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict XOMA Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that XOMA Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

XOMA Corp Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern

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XOMA Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting XOMA Corp's Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. XOMA Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.77 and 26.30, respectively. We have considered XOMA Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
25.69
25.54
Expected Value
26.30
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of XOMA Corp preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent XOMA Corp preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.1124
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1912
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0074
SAESum of the absolute errors11.6604
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the XOMA Corp historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for XOMA Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as XOMA Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.1725.9326.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.0525.8026.57
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as XOMA Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against XOMA Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, XOMA Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in XOMA Corp.

Other Forecasting Options for XOMA Corp

For every potential investor in XOMA, whether a beginner or expert, XOMA Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. XOMA Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in XOMA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying XOMA Corp's price trends.

XOMA Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with XOMA Corp preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of XOMA Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing XOMA Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

XOMA Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The preferred stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of XOMA Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of XOMA Corp's current price.

XOMA Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how XOMA Corp preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading XOMA Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying XOMA Corp preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify XOMA Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

XOMA Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of XOMA Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in XOMA Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting xoma preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with XOMA Corp

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if XOMA Corp position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in XOMA Corp will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against XOMA Preferred Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to XOMA Corp could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace XOMA Corp when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back XOMA Corp - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling XOMA Corp to buy it.
The correlation of XOMA Corp is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as XOMA Corp moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if XOMA Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for XOMA Corp can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for XOMA Preferred Stock Analysis

When running XOMA Corp's price analysis, check to measure XOMA Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy XOMA Corp is operating at the current time. Most of XOMA Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of XOMA Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move XOMA Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of XOMA Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.