Xtant Medical Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

XTNT Stock  USD 0.78  0.01  1.30%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Xtant Medical Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.64. Xtant Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Xtant Medical's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Xtant Medical's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Xtant Medical Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Xtant Medical's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.01)
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.03
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.01
Wall Street Target Price
1.5
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.19
Using Xtant Medical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Xtant Medical Holdings from the perspective of Xtant Medical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Xtant Medical Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.64.

Xtant Medical after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.78  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Xtant Medical to cross-verify your projections.
Inventory Turnover is likely to gain to 2.11 in 2026, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 3.94 in 2026. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to gain to about 161.4 M in 2026, whereas Net Loss is likely to drop (10.2 M) in 2026.

Xtant Medical Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Xtant price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Xtant using various technical indicators. When you analyze Xtant charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Xtant Medical's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2008-12-31
Previous Quarter
6.9 M
Current Value
10.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
5.3 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Xtant Medical is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Xtant Medical Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Xtant Medical Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Xtant Medical Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.64.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Xtant Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Xtant Medical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Xtant Medical Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Xtant MedicalXtant Medical Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Xtant Medical Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Xtant Medical's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Xtant Medical's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.29, respectively. We have considered Xtant Medical's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.78
0.69
Expected Value
5.29
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Xtant Medical stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Xtant Medical stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.431
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0269
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0358
SAESum of the absolute errors1.6408
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Xtant Medical Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Xtant Medical. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Xtant Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xtant Medical Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.785.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.715.33
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1.371.501.67
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Xtant Medical

For every potential investor in Xtant, whether a beginner or expert, Xtant Medical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Xtant Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Xtant. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Xtant Medical's price trends.

Xtant Medical Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Xtant Medical stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Xtant Medical could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Xtant Medical by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Xtant Medical Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Xtant Medical's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Xtant Medical's current price.

Xtant Medical Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Xtant Medical stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Xtant Medical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Xtant Medical stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Xtant Medical Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Xtant Medical Risk Indicators

The analysis of Xtant Medical's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Xtant Medical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting xtant stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Xtant Stock Analysis

When running Xtant Medical's price analysis, check to measure Xtant Medical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xtant Medical is operating at the current time. Most of Xtant Medical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xtant Medical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xtant Medical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xtant Medical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.