XWELL Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| XWEL Stock | USD 0.35 0.01 2.94% |
XWELL Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although XWELL's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of XWELL's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of XWELL fundamentals over time.
The RSI of XWELL's share price is below 30 as of now. This entails that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling XWELL Inc, making its price go up or down. Momentum 25
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 7 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.13) |
Using XWELL hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of XWELL Inc from the perspective of XWELL response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of XWELL Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.29. XWELL after-hype prediction price | USD 0.35 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of XWELL to cross-verify your projections. XWELL Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine XWELL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for XWELL using various technical indicators. When you analyze XWELL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
XWELL Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of XWELL Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.29.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict XWELL Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that XWELL's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
XWELL Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest XWELL | XWELL Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
XWELL Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting XWELL's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. XWELL's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 5.50, respectively. We have considered XWELL's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of XWELL stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent XWELL stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.3798 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0102 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0215 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.036 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.29 |
Predictive Modules for XWELL
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as XWELL Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of XWELL's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
XWELL After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of XWELL at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in XWELL or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of XWELL, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
XWELL Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting XWELL's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on XWELL's historical news coverage. XWELL's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 5.46, respectively. We have considered XWELL's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
XWELL is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of XWELL Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
XWELL Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as XWELL is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading XWELL backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with XWELL, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.53 | 5.15 | 0.05 | 0.20 | 6 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.35 | 0.35 | 0.00 |
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XWELL Hype Timeline
XWELL Inc is at this time traded for 0.35. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.2. XWELL is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -1.53%. %. The volatility of related hype on XWELL is about 3872.18%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.15. About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.13. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. XWELL Inc recorded a loss per share of 3.34. The entity last dividend was issued on the 11th of June 2020. The firm had 1:20 split on the 28th of September 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of XWELL to cross-verify your projections.XWELL Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to XWELL's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict XWELL's future price movements. Getting to know how XWELL's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how XWELL may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EVTV | Envirotech Vehicles | 0.04 | 9 per month | 8.79 | 0.10 | 35.05 | (17.45) | 471.75 | |
| VEEE | Twin Vee Powercats | (1.49) | 27 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 13.22 | (14.17) | 62.67 | |
| TRNR | Interactive Strength Common | 0.08 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 8.00 | (15.00) | 40.82 | |
| EJH | E Home Household Service | (0.04) | 10 per month | 5.04 | (0) | 9.89 | (7.07) | 33.96 | |
| WNW | Meiwu Technology Co | 0.04 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 7.19 | (10.16) | 25.24 | |
| XELB | Xcel Brands | 0.08 | 13 per month | 5.65 | 0.06 | 11.20 | (10.19) | 31.14 | |
| SPHL | Springview Holdings Ltd | (0.09) | 7 per month | 11.59 | 0.10 | 24.22 | (21.38) | 731.10 | |
| CTNT | Cheetah Net Supply | (0.02) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 3.57 | (6.18) | 15.61 | |
| NVVE | Nuvve Holding Corp | (0.07) | 10 per month | 11.90 | 0.01 | 34.19 | (20.38) | 250.51 | |
| NAAS | Naas Technology ADR | 0.14 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.57 | (4.57) | 20.65 |
Other Forecasting Options for XWELL
For every potential investor in XWELL, whether a beginner or expert, XWELL's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. XWELL Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in XWELL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying XWELL's price trends.XWELL Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with XWELL stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of XWELL could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing XWELL by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
XWELL Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how XWELL stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading XWELL shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying XWELL stock market strength indicators, traders can identify XWELL Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
XWELL Risk Indicators
The analysis of XWELL's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in XWELL's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting xwell stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.22 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.96 | |||
| Variance | 24.6 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for XWELL
The number of cover stories for XWELL depends on current market conditions and XWELL's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that XWELL is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about XWELL's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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XWELL Short Properties
XWELL's future price predictability will typically decrease when XWELL's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of XWELL Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential XWELL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. XWELL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 11.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of XWELL to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of XWELL. If investors know XWELL will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about XWELL listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (3.34) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.13) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of XWELL Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of XWELL that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of XWELL's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is XWELL's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because XWELL's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect XWELL's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between XWELL's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if XWELL is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, XWELL's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.