XXL ASA Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

XXL Stock  NOK 10.28  0.28  2.65%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of XXL ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 10.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 127.24. XXL Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for XXL ASA is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

XXL ASA Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of XXL ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 10.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.16, mean absolute percentage error of 26.24, and the sum of the absolute errors of 127.24.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict XXL Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that XXL ASA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

XXL ASA Stock Forecast Pattern

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XXL ASA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting XXL ASA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. XXL ASA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.84 and 19.72, respectively. We have considered XXL ASA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.28
10.28
Expected Value
19.72
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of XXL ASA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent XXL ASA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.7021
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.5693
MADMean absolute deviation2.1566
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0966
SAESum of the absolute errors127.24
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of XXL ASA price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of XXL ASA. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for XXL ASA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as XXL ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.8410.2819.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.439.8719.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-9.7631.1071.97
Details

Other Forecasting Options for XXL ASA

For every potential investor in XXL, whether a beginner or expert, XXL ASA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. XXL Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in XXL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying XXL ASA's price trends.

XXL ASA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with XXL ASA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of XXL ASA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing XXL ASA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

XXL ASA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of XXL ASA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of XXL ASA's current price.

XXL ASA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how XXL ASA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading XXL ASA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying XXL ASA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify XXL ASA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

XXL ASA Risk Indicators

The analysis of XXL ASA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in XXL ASA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting xxl stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in XXL Stock

XXL ASA financial ratios help investors to determine whether XXL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in XXL with respect to the benefits of owning XXL ASA security.