CbdMD Stock Forward View

YCBD Stock  USD 1.04  0.27  35.06%   
CbdMD Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast CbdMD stock prices and determine the direction of cbdMD Inc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CbdMD's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of CbdMD's share price is at 50. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling CbdMD, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 50

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of CbdMD's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of CbdMD and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from CbdMD's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with cbdMD Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using CbdMD hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of cbdMD Inc from the perspective of CbdMD response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of cbdMD Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.96.

CbdMD after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.79  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CbdMD to cross-verify your projections.

CbdMD Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CbdMD price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CbdMD using various technical indicators. When you analyze CbdMD charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for CbdMD is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of cbdMD Inc value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

CbdMD Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of cbdMD Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.96.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CbdMD Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CbdMD's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CbdMD Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest CbdMD  CbdMD Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

CbdMD Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CbdMD's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CbdMD's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 18.06, respectively. We have considered CbdMD's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.04
1.45
Expected Value
18.06
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CbdMD stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CbdMD stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.921
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1304
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1319
SAESum of the absolute errors7.9563
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of cbdMD Inc. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict CbdMD. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for CbdMD

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as cbdMD Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.7917.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.2617.87
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CbdMD. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CbdMD's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CbdMD's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in cbdMD Inc.

CbdMD After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of CbdMD at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CbdMD or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CbdMD, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

CbdMD Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting CbdMD's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CbdMD's historical news coverage. CbdMD's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.04 and 17.40, respectively. We have considered CbdMD's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.04
0.79
After-hype Price
17.40
Upside
CbdMD is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of cbdMD Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

CbdMD Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CbdMD is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CbdMD backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CbdMD, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.39 
16.61
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Any time
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.04
0.79
24.04 
0.00  
Notes

CbdMD Hype Timeline

cbdMD Inc is at this time traded for 1.04. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. CbdMD is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.79. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -24.04%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.39%. The volatility of related hype on CbdMD is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.04. About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.1. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. cbdMD Inc had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:8 split on the 7th of May 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be any time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CbdMD to cross-verify your projections.

CbdMD Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to CbdMD's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CbdMD's future price movements. Getting to know how CbdMD's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CbdMD may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for CbdMD

For every potential investor in CbdMD, whether a beginner or expert, CbdMD's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CbdMD Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CbdMD. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CbdMD's price trends.

CbdMD Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CbdMD stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CbdMD could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CbdMD by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CbdMD Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CbdMD stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CbdMD shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CbdMD stock market strength indicators, traders can identify cbdMD Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CbdMD Risk Indicators

The analysis of CbdMD's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CbdMD's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cbdmd stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for CbdMD

The number of cover stories for CbdMD depends on current market conditions and CbdMD's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CbdMD is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CbdMD's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
When determining whether cbdMD Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze CbdMD's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact CbdMD's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding CbdMD Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CbdMD to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Will Pharmaceuticals sector continue expanding? Could CbdMD diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CbdMD. Anticipated expansion of CbdMD directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every CbdMD data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
cbdMD Inc's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on CbdMD's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate CbdMD's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since CbdMD's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CbdMD's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CbdMD is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CbdMD's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.