Elaia Investment Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

YEIS Stock  EUR 4.44  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Elaia Investment Spain on the next trading day is expected to be 4.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Elaia Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Elaia Investment stock prices and determine the direction of Elaia Investment Spain's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Elaia Investment's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Elaia Investment is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Elaia Investment Spain value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Elaia Investment Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Elaia Investment Spain on the next trading day is expected to be 4.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Elaia Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Elaia Investment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Elaia Investment Stock Forecast Pattern

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Elaia Investment Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Elaia Investment's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Elaia Investment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.44 and 4.44, respectively. We have considered Elaia Investment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.44
4.44
Expected Value
4.44
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Elaia Investment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Elaia Investment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria51.3582
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Elaia Investment Spain. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Elaia Investment. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Elaia Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Elaia Investment Spain. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.553.426.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.223.095.96
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Elaia Investment

For every potential investor in Elaia, whether a beginner or expert, Elaia Investment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Elaia Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Elaia. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Elaia Investment's price trends.

Elaia Investment Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Elaia Investment stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Elaia Investment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Elaia Investment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Elaia Investment Spain Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Elaia Investment's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Elaia Investment's current price.

Elaia Investment Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Elaia Investment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Elaia Investment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Elaia Investment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Elaia Investment Spain entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Elaia Stock

Elaia Investment financial ratios help investors to determine whether Elaia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Elaia with respect to the benefits of owning Elaia Investment security.