YETI Holdings Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing

YETI Stock  USD 41.53  -0.15  -0.36%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing output for YETI Holdings is derived from daily price data across the evaluation window. The error pattern reveals whether the model tracked prices consistently or diverged during volatile sessions. Parameters are re-estimated as new trading sessions are recorded, keeping the forecast current. The Double Exponential Smoothing model projects YETI Holdings at 41.98 for the next trading day, above the most recent closing price. YETI Holdings's Double Exponential Smoothing forecast is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Double exponential smoothing (Holt method) for YETI Holdings extends simple exponential smoothing by adding a trend component. This allows the model to track directional price movement rather than lagging behind a trending series.

Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 12th of May 2026

Over a 90-day horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing model forecasts YETI Holdings at 41.98 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.02 , and sum of absolute errors of 52.48 .
This represents a tight forecast with good short-term tracking of YETI Holdings' price movement. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.

Stock Forecast Pattern

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Forecasted Value

The projected range for YETI Holdings reflects the model's ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios for the next trading day. The model places downside around 39.20 and upside around 44.76 for the next session. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Market Value
41.53
41.98
Expected Value
44.76

Model Predictive Factors

The table below summarizes the Double Exponential Smoothing model's error metrics for YETI Holdings stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0445
MADMean absolute deviation0.8895
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0223
SAESum of the absolute errors52.4812
The model estimates both the level and slope of YETI Holdings prices, giving exponentially decreasing weight to older observations. It is best suited for YETI Holdings price data that exhibits a persistent upward or downward trend. A wide divergence between the forecast and actual values may indicate a trend reversal or regime change.

Other Forecasting Options for YETI Holdings

Volatility clustering is a well-documented feature of YETI Holdings Stock price data where periods of large moves tend to follow other large moves. When YETI Holdings' RSI reaches extreme levels, it often precedes a short-term price correction or consolidation. Seasonal patterns in YETI Holdings' returns tend to persist when driven by structural factors like earnings calendars or index rebalancing.

YETI Holdings Related Equities

Investors studying YETI Holdings often look at related stocks within the Consumer Discretionary space to gauge pricing and results. Checking cash flow across this peer set helps gauge YETI Holdings' relative financial strength.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

YETI Holdings Market Strength Events

Accumulation/Distribution and Balance of Power for YETI Holdings reveal whether buying or selling pressure dominates recent sessions. Balance of Power trending positive indicates that buyers are consistently closing YETI Holdings near session highs. These signals help explain whether price direction and session structure are moving together for YETI Holdings.

YETI Holdings Risk Indicators

Risk indicator analysis for YETI Holdings quantifies how much price variability the stock has exhibited over the measurement window. Downside variance exceeding total variance indicates that negative moves in YETI Holdings have been larger or more frequent than positive ones. Mean deviation provides a more intuitive measure of typical price fluctuation than variance because it stays in the same units as YETI Holdings' price.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

YETI Holdings Short Properties

Short-interest data for YETI Holdings reveals whether bearish conviction in the market is gaining traction. A disciplined short-interest review can make timing decisions more informed under rising skepticism.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding81.59 million
Cash And Short Term Investments188.34 million

More Resources for YETI Holdings Stock Analysis

Understanding YETI Holdings starts with reviewing its financial statements and long-term patterns. Key ratios describe profitability, efficiency, and growth.