YETI Holdings Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

YETI Stock  USD 40.52  0.91  2.30%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of YETI Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 40.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.83 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.13. YETI Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of YETI Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, YETI Holdings' Inventory Turnover is increasing as compared to previous years. The YETI Holdings' current Payables Turnover is estimated to increase to 8.06, while Receivables Turnover is projected to decrease to 11.10. . The YETI Holdings' current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 93.9 M, while Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is projected to decrease to under 87.8 M.
A two period moving average forecast for YETI Holdings is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

YETI Holdings Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of YETI Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 40.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.83, mean absolute percentage error of 1.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.13.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict YETI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that YETI Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

YETI Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest YETI HoldingsYETI Holdings Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

YETI Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting YETI Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. YETI Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 37.79 and 42.34, respectively. We have considered YETI Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
40.52
40.06
Expected Value
42.34
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of YETI Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent YETI Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.5066
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0181
MADMean absolute deviation0.8326
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0215
SAESum of the absolute errors49.125
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of YETI Holdings price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of YETI Holdings. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for YETI Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as YETI Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of YETI Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.3739.6441.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.6544.1746.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
36.4939.1341.78
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
44.7649.1954.60
Details

Other Forecasting Options for YETI Holdings

For every potential investor in YETI, whether a beginner or expert, YETI Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. YETI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in YETI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying YETI Holdings' price trends.

YETI Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with YETI Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of YETI Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing YETI Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

YETI Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of YETI Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of YETI Holdings' current price.

YETI Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how YETI Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading YETI Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying YETI Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify YETI Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

YETI Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of YETI Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in YETI Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting yeti stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether YETI Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of YETI Holdings' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Yeti Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Yeti Holdings Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of YETI Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in YETI Stock please use our How to Invest in YETI Holdings guide.
You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Is Leisure Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of YETI Holdings. If investors know YETI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about YETI Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.347
Earnings Share
2.31
Revenue Per Share
21.044
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.104
Return On Assets
0.1343
The market value of YETI Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of YETI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of YETI Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is YETI Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because YETI Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect YETI Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between YETI Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if YETI Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, YETI Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.