SaveLend Group Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

YIELD Stock   1.81  0.04  2.16%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SaveLend Group AB on the next trading day is expected to be 1.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.12. SaveLend Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of SaveLend Group's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of SaveLend Group's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of SaveLend Group and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from SaveLend Group's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with SaveLend Group AB, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using SaveLend Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SaveLend Group AB from the perspective of SaveLend Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SaveLend Group AB on the next trading day is expected to be 1.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.12.

SaveLend Group after-hype prediction price

    
  SEK 1.81  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SaveLend Group to cross-verify your projections.

SaveLend Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine SaveLend price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SaveLend using various technical indicators. When you analyze SaveLend charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
SaveLend Group simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for SaveLend Group AB are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as SaveLend Group AB prices get older.

SaveLend Group Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SaveLend Group AB on the next trading day is expected to be 1.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.12.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SaveLend Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SaveLend Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SaveLend Group Stock Forecast Pattern

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SaveLend Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting SaveLend Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SaveLend Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 4.38, respectively. We have considered SaveLend Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.81
1.81
Expected Value
4.38
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SaveLend Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SaveLend Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.0182
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0042
MADMean absolute deviation0.0348
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0181
SAESum of the absolute errors2.1232
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting SaveLend Group AB forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent SaveLend Group observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for SaveLend Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SaveLend Group AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SaveLend Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.814.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.564.13
Details

Other Forecasting Options for SaveLend Group

For every potential investor in SaveLend, whether a beginner or expert, SaveLend Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SaveLend Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SaveLend. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SaveLend Group's price trends.

SaveLend Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SaveLend Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SaveLend Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SaveLend Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

SaveLend Group AB Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of SaveLend Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of SaveLend Group's current price.

SaveLend Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SaveLend Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SaveLend Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SaveLend Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SaveLend Group AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

SaveLend Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of SaveLend Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SaveLend Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting savelend stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for SaveLend Stock Analysis

When running SaveLend Group's price analysis, check to measure SaveLend Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SaveLend Group is operating at the current time. Most of SaveLend Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SaveLend Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SaveLend Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SaveLend Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.