Austevoll Seafood Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

Z85 Stock  EUR 8.19  0.07  0.85%   
Austevoll Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Austevoll Seafood's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 16th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Austevoll Seafood's share price is below 20 . This usually means that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Austevoll Seafood's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Austevoll Seafood and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Austevoll Seafood's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Austevoll Seafood ASA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Austevoll Seafood's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.077
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.08
Using Austevoll Seafood hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Austevoll Seafood ASA from the perspective of Austevoll Seafood response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Austevoll Seafood ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 8.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.41.

Austevoll Seafood after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 8.18  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Austevoll Seafood to cross-verify your projections.

Austevoll Seafood Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Austevoll price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Austevoll using various technical indicators. When you analyze Austevoll charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Austevoll Seafood price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Austevoll Seafood Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 17th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Austevoll Seafood ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 8.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.41.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Austevoll Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Austevoll Seafood's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Austevoll Seafood Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Austevoll Seafood  Austevoll Seafood Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Austevoll Seafood Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Austevoll Seafood's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Austevoll Seafood's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.84 and 9.72, respectively. We have considered Austevoll Seafood's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
8.19
8.28
Expected Value
9.72
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Austevoll Seafood stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Austevoll Seafood stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.7317
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1378
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0175
SAESum of the absolute errors8.4076
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Austevoll Seafood ASA historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Austevoll Seafood

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Austevoll Seafood ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.748.189.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.557.999.43
Details

Austevoll Seafood After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Austevoll Seafood at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Austevoll Seafood or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Austevoll Seafood, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Austevoll Seafood Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Austevoll Seafood's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Austevoll Seafood's historical news coverage. Austevoll Seafood's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.74 and 9.62, respectively. We have considered Austevoll Seafood's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
8.19
8.18
After-hype Price
9.62
Upside
Austevoll Seafood is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Austevoll Seafood ASA is based on 3 months time horizon.

Austevoll Seafood Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Austevoll Seafood is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Austevoll Seafood backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Austevoll Seafood, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.23 
1.44
  0.01 
  0.51 
1 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8.19
8.18
0.12 
2,880  
Notes

Austevoll Seafood Hype Timeline

Austevoll Seafood ASA is at this time traded for 8.19on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.51. Austevoll is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 8.18. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.12%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.23%. The volatility of related hype on Austevoll Seafood is about 65.04%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.70. About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.19. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Austevoll Seafood ASA last dividend was issued on the 30th of May 2025. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Austevoll Seafood to cross-verify your projections.

Austevoll Seafood Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Austevoll Seafood's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Austevoll Seafood's future price movements. Getting to know how Austevoll Seafood's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Austevoll Seafood may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PQ9PT Bank Mandiri 0.04 1 per month 5.73  0.05  17.39 (14.29) 40.26 
PQ90BK MANDIRI ADR20 0.00 0 per month 3.82  0.03  3.57 (9.09) 42.92 
BYRAPT Bank Rakyat 0.00 0 per month 4.34  0.04  11.11 (10.00) 26.67 
SSUNSamsung Electronics Co 54.00 8 per month 2.28  0.24  6.04 (4.93) 14.94 
SSUSamsung Electronics Co 10.00 2 per month 2.16  0.26  7.66 (4.89) 15.03 
SSUNSamsung Electronics Co(12.00)1 per month 2.12  0.25  6.24 (4.11) 13.83 
SSUSamsung Electronics Co(30.00)1 per month 2.03  0.25  6.22 (3.69) 15.50 
BZG2PT Bank Central 0.00 2 per month 0.00 (0.08) 7.50 (7.69) 20.00 
TCIDTelkom Indonesia Tbk 0.00 1 per month 5.37  0.01  12.50 (15.00) 35.42 
PTIPerusahaan Perseroan PT 0.1 3 per month 2.48 (0.03) 2.81 (3.30) 16.77 

Other Forecasting Options for Austevoll Seafood

For every potential investor in Austevoll, whether a beginner or expert, Austevoll Seafood's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Austevoll Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Austevoll. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Austevoll Seafood's price trends.

Austevoll Seafood Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Austevoll Seafood stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Austevoll Seafood could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Austevoll Seafood by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Austevoll Seafood Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Austevoll Seafood stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Austevoll Seafood shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Austevoll Seafood stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Austevoll Seafood ASA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Austevoll Seafood Risk Indicators

The analysis of Austevoll Seafood's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Austevoll Seafood's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting austevoll stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Austevoll Seafood

The number of cover stories for Austevoll Seafood depends on current market conditions and Austevoll Seafood's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Austevoll Seafood is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Austevoll Seafood's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Austevoll Stock

Austevoll Seafood financial ratios help investors to determine whether Austevoll Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Austevoll with respect to the benefits of owning Austevoll Seafood security.