Ermenegildo Zegna Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| ZGN Stock | USD 11.04 0.06 0.55% |
Ermenegildo Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Ermenegildo Zegna's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Ermenegildo Zegna's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Ermenegildo Zegna fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Ermenegildo Zegna's share price is below 20 . This usually means that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.7 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.377 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.4043 | Wall Street Target Price 11.5687 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
Using Ermenegildo Zegna hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ermenegildo Zegna NV from the perspective of Ermenegildo Zegna response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ermenegildo Zegna using Ermenegildo Zegna's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ermenegildo using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ermenegildo Zegna's stock price.
Ermenegildo Zegna Short Interest
An investor who is long Ermenegildo Zegna may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Ermenegildo Zegna and may potentially protect profits, hedge Ermenegildo Zegna with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 9.3267 | Short Percent 0.0595 | Short Ratio 5.19 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.4 M | 50 Day MA 10.2398 |
Ermenegildo Relative Strength Index
Ermenegildo Zegna Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Ermenegildo Zegna's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ermenegildo. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ermenegildo can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ermenegildo Zegna NV. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Ermenegildo Zegna's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Ermenegildo Zegna.
Ermenegildo Zegna Implied Volatility | 1.76 |
Ermenegildo Zegna's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ermenegildo Zegna NV stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ermenegildo Zegna's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ermenegildo Zegna stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ermenegildo Zegna's options are near their expiration.
Ermenegildo Zegna after-hype prediction price | USD 11.58 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Ermenegildo contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Ermenegildo Zegna NV will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.11% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Ermenegildo Zegna trading at USD 11.04, that is roughly USD 0.0121 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Ermenegildo Zegna's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Ermenegildo Zegna NV options at the current volatility level of 1.76%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Ermenegildo Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Ermenegildo Zegna's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Ermenegildo Zegna's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Ermenegildo Zegna stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Ermenegildo Zegna's open interest, investors have to compare it to Ermenegildo Zegna's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Ermenegildo Zegna is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Ermenegildo. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Ermenegildo Zegna Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ermenegildo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ermenegildo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ermenegildo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 20642.2 | 14023.72 |
| Check Ermenegildo Zegna Volatility | Backtest Ermenegildo Zegna | Information Ratio |
Ermenegildo Zegna Trading Date Momentum
| On February 13 2026 Ermenegildo Zegna NV was traded for 11.04 at the closing time. Highest Ermenegildo Zegna's price during the trading hours was 11.29 and the lowest price during the day was 10.91 . The net volume was 416.7 K. The overall trading history on the 13th of February 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to current price is 0.18% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Ermenegildo Zegna to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Ermenegildo Zegna
For every potential investor in Ermenegildo, whether a beginner or expert, Ermenegildo Zegna's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ermenegildo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ermenegildo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ermenegildo Zegna's price trends.Ermenegildo Zegna Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ermenegildo Zegna stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ermenegildo Zegna could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ermenegildo Zegna by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ermenegildo Zegna Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ermenegildo Zegna stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ermenegildo Zegna shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ermenegildo Zegna stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ermenegildo Zegna NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 14023.72 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.1579 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 11.1 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 11.08 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.03) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.06 |
Ermenegildo Zegna Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ermenegildo Zegna's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ermenegildo Zegna's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ermenegildo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.91 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.02 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.71 | |||
| Variance | 7.36 | |||
| Downside Variance | 10.69 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.12 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.93) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Ermenegildo Zegna
The number of cover stories for Ermenegildo Zegna depends on current market conditions and Ermenegildo Zegna's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ermenegildo Zegna is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ermenegildo Zegna's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Ermenegildo Zegna Short Properties
Ermenegildo Zegna's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ermenegildo Zegna's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ermenegildo Zegna NV often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ermenegildo Zegna's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ermenegildo Zegna's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 254.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 296.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ermenegildo Zegna to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Will Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods sector continue expanding? Could Ermenegildo diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ermenegildo Zegna. Anticipated expansion of Ermenegildo directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Ermenegildo Zegna data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.7 | Dividend Share 0.12 | Earnings Share 0.44 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
Investors evaluate Ermenegildo Zegna using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Ermenegildo Zegna's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Ermenegildo Zegna's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ermenegildo Zegna's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ermenegildo Zegna is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Ermenegildo Zegna's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.